Aero · AERO
AERO +2.4% in 2h to $0.554 on two medium up-signals; no catalyst found
AERO rose 2.4% over the two-hour window to $0.554, within a $0.540 to $0.554 range, while the broader crypto market fell 3.04% over 24h. Two medium-severity upward price-move signals fired at 16:12 and 16:22, and the coin is on CoinGecko's trending list. The evidence shows attention and a modest bounce but does not identify a cause, so the pressure on price is read as neutral.
What happened
- AERO traded at $0.553952 at 16:24 UTC, up 2.4% over the 14:24 to 16:24 window. The window high was $0.554113 and the low was $0.540067 (15:15 bar). E1
- The 15-minute path was flat to slightly lower from 14:15 to 15:15 (about $0.541 to $0.540), then rose to $0.552 by 15:45 and held near $0.550 to $0.554 through 16:15. E1
- Two medium price_move signals fired as up moves: at 16:12 (+2.225% in 1h, z=3.5) and at 16:22 (+1.855% in 1h, z=2.83). E8
- 24h change is +1.68% and 1h change is +1.60%. Market cap is $391.2M (rank #118) and 24h volume is $19.4M. E1
- AERO is in CoinGecko's trending searches and is tagged Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Base Ecosystem. E4
- Price is about 29% below the all-time high of $0.784548. E1
Likely causes
- 1.Relative strength against a weak market: the total crypto market cap fell 3.04% in 24h while BTC rose 0.84% and ETH 1.47% over the window, so AERO's gain may partly reflect a rotation or relative bid rather than coin-specific news. (35%) E4E1
- 2.Renewed retail attention: AERO's trending listing and the two up-signals suggest elevated search and trading interest, but no volume spike is shown (24h volume $19.4M has no baseline here). (30%) E4E8E1
- 3.No specific catalyst identified. The evidence has no news, governance, listing or protocol announcement that explains the move, so the cause is not established. (60%) E1E4E8
Onchain
- Aerodrome and Aero protocol TVL is mixed. Over 1 day, all four tracked deployments fell (-0.71% to -4.94%). Over 7 days, Aero Slipstream rose 8.67% to $137.4M, while Aerodrome Slipstream (-17.81%), Aero Basic (-7.72%) and Aerodrome V1 (-18.20%) fell. E6
- The Ethereum base fee was 0.48 gwei against a 24h average of 0.14 gwei, with blocks 52% full. This is general Ethereum network activity and does not show AERO-specific onchain flows. E3
Market context
What to watch
- Whether the 16:12 and 16:22 up-moves hold above the $0.554 window high, or revert toward the $0.540 window low.
- Whether TVL declines on Aerodrome Slipstream and V1 (-17.8% and -18.2% over 7 days) continue or reverse.
- Any volume expansion versus the $19.4M 24h baseline, which would be needed to confirm the trending interest.
- Any protocol, listing or governance news that could explain the move. None is in the current evidence.
Caveats
- The headline price of $0.6 in E1 is a rounding of $0.553952. The brief uses the exact value.
- The baselines in E8 ($0.631 and $0.653) are well above the current price (~$0.55) and do not match the window path. The signal z-scores are used as reported but the baseline should not be relied on.
- E2: no contract scan exists, so mint authority and other contract risks are unknown.
- E7: developer activity is not tracked for this coin. The 100% positive sentiment figure is timestamped 07:56 UTC, which is before the window, so it is stale for this brief.
- E3 describes Ethereum network fees, not AERO-specific data.
- The evidence does not explain the move. Causes above are inferred and low-to-moderate confidence.
Evidence (8 items)
- E1priceCoinGraph market prices
AERO $0.6 now; +2.4% over the window (high $0.6, low $0.5); 1h +1.6%, 24h +1.68%, 7d n/a; rank #118, market cap $391.2M, 24h volume $19.4M
data
{ "ath": 0.784548, "low": 0.540067, "high": 0.554113, "rank": 118, "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:24:00.000Z", "price": 0.553952, "path_15m": [ { "t": "2026-11-11T14:15:00.000Z", "price": 0.54096 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T14:30:00.000Z", "price": 0.54144 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T14:45:00.000Z", "price": 0.543557 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T15:00:00.000Z", "price": 0.543037 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T15:15:00.000Z", "price": 0.540067 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T15:30:00.000Z", "price": 0.543923 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T15:45:00.000Z", "price": 0.552482 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T16:00:00.000Z", "price": 0.550319 }, { "t": "2026-11-11T16:15:00.000Z", "price": 0.554113 } ], "market_cap": 391200003, "volume_24h": 19437033, "change_1h_pct": 1.60323250998237, "change_7d_pct": null, "change_24h_pct": 1.67512, "window_return_pct": 2.4 } - E2contract_securityCoinGraph contract scan
No contract scan on file for this token, so contract settings such as mint authority are unknown.
data
{ "as_of": null, "status": "no_scan" } - E3network_feesCoinGraph on-chain flows
ETH base fee 0.48 gwei (24h average 0.14), blocks 52% full
data
{ "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:17:00.000Z", "chain": "eth", "base_fee_gwei": 0.48196173618666666, "gas_used_ratio": 0.5240320794736207, "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.13928325197680555, "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.18092316114666662 } - E4market_contextCoinGraph market prices
Market: BTC +0.84% and ETH +1.47% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.04% in 24h; AERO is in CoinGecko's trending searches; categories: Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Base Ecosystem
data
{ "trending": true, "categories": [ "Decentralized Exchange (DEX)", "Decentralized Finance (DeFi)", "Base Ecosystem" ], "btc_change_24h_pct": 1.32938, "btc_window_return_pct": 0.84, "eth_window_return_pct": 1.47, "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.0418795962213268 } - E5market_moodCoinGraph market mood
Crypto Fear & Greed index 29 (Fear) today, 34 a week ago
data
{ "day": "2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z", "value": 29, "week_ago": 34, "classification": "Fear" } - E6protocol_tvlCoinGraph TVL
Protocol TVL (DefiLlama): Aero Slipstream $137.4M (-0.71% 1d, +8.67% 7d); Aerodrome Slipstream $71.4M (-1.44% 1d, -17.81% 7d); Aero Basic $55.3M (-3.63% 1d, -7.72% 7d); Aerodrome V1 $47.2M (-4.94% 1d, -18.2% 7d)
data
{ "protocols": [ { "name": "Aero Slipstream", "tvl_usd": 137426958.3253348, "category": "Dexs", "protocol": "aero-slipstream", "change_1d_pct": -0.7107977646097083, "change_7d_pct": 8.674328760591195 }, { "name": "Aerodrome Slipstream", "tvl_usd": 71419970.32373406, "category": "Dexs", "protocol": "aerodrome-slipstream", "change_1d_pct": -1.4409956236375479, "change_7d_pct": -17.81172515406017 }, { "name": "Aero Basic", "tvl_usd": 55324045.123004325, "category": "Dexs", "protocol": "aero-basic", "change_1d_pct": -3.629596697243173, "change_7d_pct": -7.716976104693558 }, { "name": "Aerodrome V1", "tvl_usd": 47188013.50680006, "category": "Dexs", "protocol": "aerodrome-v1", "change_1d_pct": -4.939033126034474, "change_7d_pct": -18.203682042273726 } ] } - E7dev_and_communityCoinGraph market prices
developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-11-11)
data
{ "as_of": "2026-11-11T07:56:24.032Z", "forks": null, "stars": null, "commits_4w": null, "prs_merged": null, "sentiment_up_pct": 100, "twitter_followers": null, "reddit_subscribers": null } - E8signalsCoinGraph signals
Triggered by: price_move (up, medium) at 16:12; price_move (up, medium) at 16:22
data
{ "signals": [ { "id": "260384", "kind": "price_move", "ratio": 3.5, "value": 2.225, "details": { "z_1h": 3.5, "price": 0.552164, "ret_1h_pct": 2.225, "ret_15m_pct": 0.117 }, "baseline": 0.631, "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:12:00.000Z", "severity": 2, "direction": "up" }, { "id": "260398", "kind": "price_move", "ratio": 2.83, "value": 1.855, "details": { "z_1h": 2.83, "price": 0.554501, "ret_1h_pct": 1.855, "ret_15m_pct": 0.885 }, "baseline": 0.653, "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:22:00.000Z", "severity": 2, "direction": "up" } ] }