← CoinGraph · Brief #4398 · Proof

Aero · AERO

AERO +2.4% in 2h to $0.554 on two medium up-signals; no catalyst found

neutralseverity 1/3confidence 50%donescore 6.0opened 2026-11-11 16:24 UTCclaude-haiku-5-5

AERO rose 2.4% over the two-hour window to $0.554, within a $0.540 to $0.554 range, while the broader crypto market fell 3.04% over 24h. Two medium-severity upward price-move signals fired at 16:12 and 16:22, and the coin is on CoinGecko's trending list. The evidence shows attention and a modest bounce but does not identify a cause, so the pressure on price is read as neutral.

What happened

Likely causes

  1. 1.Relative strength against a weak market: the total crypto market cap fell 3.04% in 24h while BTC rose 0.84% and ETH 1.47% over the window, so AERO's gain may partly reflect a rotation or relative bid rather than coin-specific news. (35%) E4E1
  2. 2.Renewed retail attention: AERO's trending listing and the two up-signals suggest elevated search and trading interest, but no volume spike is shown (24h volume $19.4M has no baseline here). (30%) E4E8E1
  3. 3.No specific catalyst identified. The evidence has no news, governance, listing or protocol announcement that explains the move, so the cause is not established. (60%) E1E4E8

Onchain

Market context

What to watch

Caveats

Evidence (8 items)

  1. E1priceCoinGraph market prices

    AERO $0.6 now; +2.4% over the window (high $0.6, low $0.5); 1h +1.6%, 24h +1.68%, 7d n/a; rank #118, market cap $391.2M, 24h volume $19.4M

    data
    {
     "ath": 0.784548,
     "low": 0.540067,
     "high": 0.554113,
     "rank": 118,
     "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:24:00.000Z",
     "price": 0.553952,
     "path_15m": [
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T14:15:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.54096
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T14:30:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.54144
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T14:45:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.543557
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T15:00:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.543037
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T15:15:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.540067
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T15:30:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.543923
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T15:45:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.552482
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T16:00:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.550319
      },
      {
       "t": "2026-11-11T16:15:00.000Z",
       "price": 0.554113
      }
     ],
     "market_cap": 391200003,
     "volume_24h": 19437033,
     "change_1h_pct": 1.60323250998237,
     "change_7d_pct": null,
     "change_24h_pct": 1.67512,
     "window_return_pct": 2.4
    }
  2. E2contract_securityCoinGraph contract scan

    No contract scan on file for this token, so contract settings such as mint authority are unknown.

    data
    {
     "as_of": null,
     "status": "no_scan"
    }
  3. E3network_feesCoinGraph on-chain flows

    ETH base fee 0.48 gwei (24h average 0.14), blocks 52% full

    data
    {
     "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:17:00.000Z",
     "chain": "eth",
     "base_fee_gwei": 0.48196173618666666,
     "gas_used_ratio": 0.5240320794736207,
     "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.13928325197680555,
     "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.18092316114666662
    }
  4. E4market_contextCoinGraph market prices

    Market: BTC +0.84% and ETH +1.47% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.04% in 24h; AERO is in CoinGecko's trending searches; categories: Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Base Ecosystem

    data
    {
     "trending": true,
     "categories": [
      "Decentralized Exchange (DEX)",
      "Decentralized Finance (DeFi)",
      "Base Ecosystem"
     ],
     "btc_change_24h_pct": 1.32938,
     "btc_window_return_pct": 0.84,
     "eth_window_return_pct": 1.47,
     "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.0418795962213268
    }
  5. E5market_moodCoinGraph market mood

    Crypto Fear & Greed index 29 (Fear) today, 34 a week ago

    data
    {
     "day": "2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z",
     "value": 29,
     "week_ago": 34,
     "classification": "Fear"
    }
  6. E6protocol_tvlCoinGraph TVL

    Protocol TVL (DefiLlama): Aero Slipstream $137.4M (-0.71% 1d, +8.67% 7d); Aerodrome Slipstream $71.4M (-1.44% 1d, -17.81% 7d); Aero Basic $55.3M (-3.63% 1d, -7.72% 7d); Aerodrome V1 $47.2M (-4.94% 1d, -18.2% 7d)

    data
    {
     "protocols": [
      {
       "name": "Aero Slipstream",
       "tvl_usd": 137426958.3253348,
       "category": "Dexs",
       "protocol": "aero-slipstream",
       "change_1d_pct": -0.7107977646097083,
       "change_7d_pct": 8.674328760591195
      },
      {
       "name": "Aerodrome Slipstream",
       "tvl_usd": 71419970.32373406,
       "category": "Dexs",
       "protocol": "aerodrome-slipstream",
       "change_1d_pct": -1.4409956236375479,
       "change_7d_pct": -17.81172515406017
      },
      {
       "name": "Aero Basic",
       "tvl_usd": 55324045.123004325,
       "category": "Dexs",
       "protocol": "aero-basic",
       "change_1d_pct": -3.629596697243173,
       "change_7d_pct": -7.716976104693558
      },
      {
       "name": "Aerodrome V1",
       "tvl_usd": 47188013.50680006,
       "category": "Dexs",
       "protocol": "aerodrome-v1",
       "change_1d_pct": -4.939033126034474,
       "change_7d_pct": -18.203682042273726
      }
     ]
    }
  7. E7dev_and_communityCoinGraph market prices

    developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-11-11)

    data
    {
     "as_of": "2026-11-11T07:56:24.032Z",
     "forks": null,
     "stars": null,
     "commits_4w": null,
     "prs_merged": null,
     "sentiment_up_pct": 100,
     "twitter_followers": null,
     "reddit_subscribers": null
    }
  8. E8signalsCoinGraph signals

    Triggered by: price_move (up, medium) at 16:12; price_move (up, medium) at 16:22

    data
    {
     "signals": [
      {
       "id": "260384",
       "kind": "price_move",
       "ratio": 3.5,
       "value": 2.225,
       "details": {
        "z_1h": 3.5,
        "price": 0.552164,
        "ret_1h_pct": 2.225,
        "ret_15m_pct": 0.117
       },
       "baseline": 0.631,
       "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:12:00.000Z",
       "severity": 2,
       "direction": "up"
      },
      {
       "id": "260398",
       "kind": "price_move",
       "ratio": 2.83,
       "value": 1.855,
       "details": {
        "z_1h": 2.83,
        "price": 0.554501,
        "ret_1h_pct": 1.855,
        "ret_15m_pct": 0.885
       },
       "baseline": 0.653,
       "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:22:00.000Z",
       "severity": 2,
       "direction": "up"
      }
     ]
    }