What CoinGraph said about aero, exactly as issued.

{
  "id": "4398",
  "token": {
    "id": "aero"
  },
  "headline": "AERO +2.4% in 2h to $0.554 on two medium up-signals; no catalyst found",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "The headline price of $0.6 in E1 is a rounding of $0.553952. The brief uses the exact value.",
      "The baselines in E8 ($0.631 and $0.653) are well above the current price (~$0.55) and do not match the window path. The signal z-scores are used as reported but the baseline should not be relied on.",
      "E2: no contract scan exists, so mint authority and other contract risks are unknown.",
      "E7: developer activity is not tracked for this coin. The 100% positive sentiment figure is timestamped 07:56 UTC, which is before the window, so it is stale for this brief.",
      "E3 describes Ethereum network fees, not AERO-specific data.",
      "The evidence does not explain the move. Causes above are inferred and low-to-moderate confidence."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "Aerodrome and Aero protocol TVL is mixed. Over 1 day, all four tracked deployments fell (-0.71% to -4.94%). Over 7 days, Aero Slipstream rose 8.67% to $137.4M, while Aerodrome Slipstream (-17.81%), Aero Basic (-7.72%) and Aerodrome V1 (-18.20%) fell.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The Ethereum base fee was 0.48 gwei against a 24h average of 0.14 gwei, with blocks 52% full. This is general Ethereum network activity and does not show AERO-specific onchain flows.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "AERO rose 2.4% over the two-hour window to $0.554, within a $0.540 to $0.554 range, while the broader crypto market fell 3.04% over 24h. Two medium-severity upward price-move signals fired at 16:12 and 16:22, and the coin is on CoinGecko's trending list. The evidence shows attention and a modest bounce but does not identify a cause, so the pressure on price is read as neutral.",
    "headline": "AERO +2.4% in 2h to $0.554 on two medium up-signals; no catalyst found",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 0.5,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether the 16:12 and 16:22 up-moves hold above the $0.554 window high, or revert toward the $0.540 window low.",
      "Whether TVL declines on Aerodrome Slipstream and V1 (-17.8% and -18.2% over 7 days) continue or reverse.",
      "Any volume expansion versus the $19.4M 24h baseline, which would be needed to confirm the trending interest.",
      "Any protocol, listing or governance news that could explain the move. None is in the current evidence."
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "Relative strength against a weak market: the total crypto market cap fell 3.04% in 24h while BTC rose 0.84% and ETH 1.47% over the window, so AERO's gain may partly reflect a rotation or relative bid rather than coin-specific news.",
        "evidence": [
          "E4",
          "E1"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35
      },
      {
        "cause": "Renewed retail attention: AERO's trending listing and the two up-signals suggest elevated search and trading interest, but no volume spike is shown (24h volume $19.4M has no baseline here).",
        "evidence": [
          "E4",
          "E8",
          "E1"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.3
      },
      {
        "cause": "No specific catalyst identified. The evidence has no news, governance, listing or protocol announcement that explains the move, so the cause is not established.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E4",
          "E8"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "AERO traded at $0.553952 at 16:24 UTC, up 2.4% over the 14:24 to 16:24 window. The window high was $0.554113 and the low was $0.540067 (15:15 bar).",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The 15-minute path was flat to slightly lower from 14:15 to 15:15 (about $0.541 to $0.540), then rose to $0.552 by 15:45 and held near $0.550 to $0.554 through 16:15.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Two medium price_move signals fired as up moves: at 16:12 (+2.225% in 1h, z=3.5) and at 16:22 (+1.855% in 1h, z=2.83).",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "24h change is +1.68% and 1h change is +1.60%. Market cap is $391.2M (rank #118) and 24h volume is $19.4M.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "AERO is in CoinGecko's trending searches and is tagged Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Base Ecosystem.",
        "evidence": [
          "E4"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Price is about 29% below the all-time high of $0.784548.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Crypto Fear & Greed index is 29 (Fear), down from 34 a week ago. Total market cap fell 3.04% over 24h, while BTC was up 1.32% over 24h and ETH up 1.47% over the window.",
        "evidence": [
          "E5",
          "E4"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "AERO's 1h return (+1.6%) and window return (+2.4%) were above BTC (+0.84%) and ETH (+1.47%) over the same period.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E4"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Aero",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 0.784548,
          "low": 0.540067,
          "high": 0.554113,
          "rank": 118,
          "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:24:00.000Z",
          "price": 0.553952,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T14:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.54096
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T14:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.54144
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T14:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.543557
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T15:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.543037
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T15:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.540067
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T15:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.543923
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T15:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.552482
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T16:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.550319
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-11-11T16:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.554113
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 391200003,
          "volume_24h": 19437033,
          "change_1h_pct": 1.60323250998237,
          "change_7d_pct": null,
          "change_24h_pct": 1.67512,
          "window_return_pct": 2.4
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:24:00.000Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph market prices",
        "summary": "AERO $0.6 now; +2.4% over the window (high $0.6, low $0.5); 1h +1.6%, 24h +1.68%, 7d n/a; rank #118, market cap $391.2M, 24h volume $19.4M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "as_of": null,
          "status": "no_scan"
        },
        "kind": "contract_security",
        "as_of": null,
        "source": "CoinGraph contract scan",
        "summary": "No contract scan on file for this token, so contract settings such as mint authority are unknown."
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:17:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.48196173618666666,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5240320794736207,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.13928325197680555,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.18092316114666662
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:17:00.000Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph on-chain flows",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.48 gwei (24h average 0.14), blocks 52% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "trending": true,
          "categories": [
            "Decentralized Exchange (DEX)",
            "Decentralized Finance (DeFi)",
            "Base Ecosystem"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": 1.32938,
          "btc_window_return_pct": 0.84,
          "eth_window_return_pct": 1.47,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.0418795962213268
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T16:00:00.000Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph market prices",
        "summary": "Market: BTC +0.84% and ETH +1.47% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.04% in 24h; AERO is in CoinGecko's trending searches; categories: Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Base Ecosystem"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 29,
          "week_ago": 34,
          "classification": "Fear"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T00:00:00.000Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph market mood",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 29 (Fear) today, 34 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "protocols": [
            {
              "name": "Aero Slipstream",
              "tvl_usd": 137426958.3253348,
              "category": "Dexs",
              "protocol": "aero-slipstream",
              "change_1d_pct": -0.7107977646097083,
              "change_7d_pct": 8.674328760591195
            },
            {
              "name": "Aerodrome Slipstream",
              "tvl_usd": 71419970.32373406,
              "category": "Dexs",
              "protocol": "aerodrome-slipstream",
              "change_1d_pct": -1.4409956236375479,
              "change_7d_pct": -17.81172515406017
            },
            {
              "name": "Aero Basic",
              "tvl_usd": 55324045.123004325,
              "category": "Dexs",
              "protocol": "aero-basic",
              "change_1d_pct": -3.629596697243173,
              "change_7d_pct": -7.716976104693558
            },
            {
              "name": "Aerodrome V1",
              "tvl_usd": 47188013.50680006,
              "category": "Dexs",
              "protocol": "aerodrome-v1",
              "change_1d_pct": -4.939033126034474,
              "change_7d_pct": -18.203682042273726
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "protocol_tvl",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T12:00:00.000Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph TVL",
        "summary": "Protocol TVL (DefiLlama): Aero Slipstream $137.4M (-0.71% 1d, +8.67% 7d); Aerodrome Slipstream $71.4M (-1.44% 1d, -17.81% 7d); Aero Basic $55.3M (-3.63% 1d, -7.72% 7d); Aerodrome V1 $47.2M (-4.94% 1d, -18.2% 7d)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-11-11T07:56:24.032Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 100,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "as_of": "2026-11-11T07:56:24.032Z",
        "source": "CoinGraph market prices",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-11-11)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "260384",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 3.5,
              "value": 2.225,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 3.5,
                "price": 0.552164,
                "ret_1h_pct": 2.225,
                "ret_15m_pct": 0.117
              },
              "baseline": 0.631,
              "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:12:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "up"
            },
            {
              "id": "260398",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 2.83,
              "value": 1.855,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 2.83,
                "price": 0.554501,
                "ret_1h_pct": 1.855,
                "ret_15m_pct": 0.885
              },
              "baseline": 0.653,
              "event_ts": "2026-11-11T16:22:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "up"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "as_of": null,
        "source": "CoinGraph signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (up, medium) at 16:12; price_move (up, medium) at 16:22"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "AERO",
    "window_to": "2026-11-11T16:24:07.727Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-11-11T16:25:04.842Z",
    "window_from": "2026-11-11T14:24:07.727Z",
    "coingecko_id": "aero"
  },
  "model": "claude-haiku-5-5"
}