Akedo · AKE

AKE +4.25% in 2h, mostly in last 15 min, on below-normal Gate volume; OI +3.8%

bullishseverity 1/3confidence 45%donescore 6.0opened 2026-10-17 21:16 UTCclaude-opus-5-5

AKE rose 4.25% to $0.02986 over the window. Most of the gain came after 21:00, while BTC and ETH were roughly flat. Spot volume on Gate was slightly below normal (0.9×), and Binance futures open interest rose 3.83% in the hour with neutral funding, so the move looks like modest new futures positioning rather than a high-volume breakout. The evidence does not point to a clear catalyst, liquidation event or onchain flow.

What happened

AKE moved from $0.02864 to $0.02986 (+4.25%), finishing at the window high. 1h +3.52%, 24h -1.07%, 7d +4.8%. Market cap is $680.7M (rank #97) and 24h volume is $9.6M. E1
Price traded between $0.0288 and $0.0291 until 21:00, then jumped to $0.02986 by 21:15 (about +2.7% in 15 minutes). This tripped two medium price_move signals with a 1h z-score of about 2.7. E1 E13
Gate's busiest minute was 21:06: $19.1K traded at +1.8%, with a close of $0.030118. Gate's total hourly volume was $155.7K, against a typical $164.5K (0.95×). E2

Likely causes

1.Modest new long-leaning futures positioning. OI rose while funding stayed neutral and taker data was missing, so the direction of the new positions can't be confirmed. (40%) E3 E4 E5
2.Thin-liquidity price push. A few relatively large Gate minutes (e.g. $19.1K at 21:06) moved price while overall volume stayed below typical. This points to a book-driven move, not a broad wave of demand. (35%) E2 E1
3.No identifiable external catalyst in the evidence. The market was flat, the coin was not trending, and there were no news items or large transfers. (50%) E10 E7

Onchain

BSC: 1,703 AKE transfers worth $186.2K. $3.5K flowed onto exchanges and none left, for a small net inflow. There were no large transfers. The 7-day baseline reads 0, so we can't judge how unusual this is. E7
Known exchange wallets hold 61M AKE ($1.8M). The Gate wallet holds 33M AKE, up 7.36% vs 24h ago, so more supply is available to sell on Gate. MEXC holds 28M, down 0.48%. E8
BSC network is quiet: base fee about 0 gwei and blocks 18% full. E9

Market context

BTC +0.16% and ETH +0.31% over the same window. Total crypto market cap is -2.7% over 24h, so AKE's move was coin-specific. E10
Binance futures OI is $13.2M (+3.83% over 1h, +3.69% over 4h). Funding is 0.005% per 8h on Binance, Bybit and OKX, below the ~0.01% norm, so there's no sign of crowded longs. E3 E4
Binance long/short ratio by accounts is 1.63, but top traders by position are 0.85, meaning large positions lean short. Liquidations were negligible: $809 total, all shorts. E5 E6
Fear & Greed is 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago. CoinGecko sentiment is 54% positive. E11 E12

What to watch

Whether price holds above ~$0.030 (the 21:06 Gate high) or fades back toward $0.0289–0.0291
Binance OI direction and whether funding rises from 0.005%
Short liquidations if price keeps rising, since top traders' positions lean short (0.85)
Further growth in the Gate wallet balance (+7.36% over 24h) or exchange inflows, which could add sell pressure
Gate hourly volume moving above its ~$164K typical level to confirm the move

Caveats

The headline price in the E1 summary rounds to $0. The real price is $0.02986.
Volume data covers Gate spot only. Binance/OKX spot volume and taker buy/sell data were not available.
The onchain baseline (median 15-min net flow and volume) reads 0, so flow anomalies can't be measured.
The final 15-minute jump is a single print at the window's end and may not hold.
No news or announcement data was in the evidence, so we can't rule out a catalyst.

Evidence (13 items)

E1pricecoingecko:/coins/markets

AKE $0 now; +4.25% over the window (high $0, low $0); 1h +3.52%, 24h -1.07%, 7d +4.8%; rank #97, market cap $680.7M, 24h volume $9.6M

data

{
 "ath": 0.146656,
 "low": 0.02864419,
 "high": 0.02986047,
 "rank": 97,
 "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
 "price": 0.02986047,
 "path_15m": [
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T19:15:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02864419
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T19:30:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02887181
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.0289991
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02907231
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.0288458
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02884317
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02893753
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02908384
  },
  {
   "t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
   "price": 0.02986047
  }
 ],
 "market_cap": 680706794,
 "volume_24h": 9568563,
 "change_1h_pct": 3.517565815474,
 "change_7d_pct": 4.80424797993518,
 "change_24h_pct": -1.07104,
 "window_return_pct": 4.25
}

E2spot_volumegate:klines:1m

gate AKE/USDT: $155.7K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $164.5K (0.9×); busiest minutes: 21:06 $19.1K (+1.802%), 21:15 $15.6K (-0.131%), 19:31 $12.6K (+0.846%), 21:11 $8.8K (+0.197%), 19:47 $8.8K (+0.704%)

data

{
 "ratio": 0.9467726108744554,
 "venue": "gate",
 "symbol": "AKE/USDT",
 "volume_1h_usd": 155709.970135,
 "busiest_minutes": [
  {
   "v": "19125.472124",
   "ts": "2026-10-17T21:06:00.000Z",
   "ret": "1.802",
   "close": "0.030118"
  },
  {
   "v": "15606.176655",
   "ts": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
   "ret": "-0.131",
   "close": "0.029749"
  },
  {
   "v": "12628.585675",
   "ts": "2026-10-17T19:31:00.000Z",
   "ret": "0.846",
   "close": "0.029221"
  },
  {
   "v": "8847.881024",
   "ts": "2026-10-17T21:11:00.000Z",
   "ret": "0.197",
   "close": "0.029966"
  },
  {
   "v": "8778.801460",
   "ts": "2026-10-17T19:47:00.000Z",
   "ret": "0.704",
   "close": "0.029164"
  }
 ],
 "volume_window_usd": 314054.564395,
 "median_hourly_24h_usd": 164463.957181
}

E3open_interestbinanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m

Binance futures open interest $13.2M: +3.83% vs 1h ago, +3.69% vs 4h ago

data

{
 "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
 "change_1h_pct": 3.83,
 "change_4h_pct": 3.69,
 "open_interest_usd": 13183966.42058199
}

E4fundingccxt:fetchFundingRates

Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0050%, bybit 0.0050%, okx 0.0050% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)

data

{
 "rates": [
  {
   "venue": "binanceusdm",
   "symbol": "AKE/USDT:USDT",
   "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
  },
  {
   "venue": "bybit",
   "symbol": "AKE/USDT:USDT",
   "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
  },
  {
   "venue": "okx",
   "symbol": "AKE/USDT:USDT",
   "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
  }
 ]
}

E5positioningbinanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m
Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 1.63, top traders by position 0.85, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)
data
```
{
 "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
 "taker_buy_sell": null,
 "global_long_short": 1.6295,
 "top_account_long_short": 1.5621,
 "top_position_long_short": 0.8476
}
```

E6liquidationsokx+binance:liquidations

4 forced liquidations worth $809.1 in the window: $0 longs, $809.1 shorts; largest $557.8

data

{
 "count": 4,
 "longs_usd": 0,
 "total_usd": 809.1099999999999,
 "shorts_usd": 809.1099999999999,
 "largest_usd": 557.7959999999999
}

E7exchange_flowsnownodes:bsc:eth_getLogs

Onchain (BSC): 1703 transfers worth $186.2K in the window; $3.5K moved onto exchanges, $0 left exchanges → net inflow of $3.5K (typical 15-min |net| $0)

data

{
 "chain": "bsc",
 "transfers": 1703,
 "volume_usd": 186240.1055250334,
 "large_transfers": 0,
 "exchange_net_usd": 3534.2746976977924,
 "exchange_inflow_usd": 3534.2746976977924,
 "exchange_outflow_usd": 0,
 "median_volume_15m_7d": 0,
 "median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0
}

E8exchange_reservesnownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}

Known exchange wallets hold 61M AKE ($1.8M): gate 33M (+7.36% vs 24h ago), mexc 28M (-0.48% vs 24h ago)

data

{
 "by_exchange": [
  {
   "entity": "gate",
   "balance": 33051416.27331591,
   "balance_usd": 971861.0308370432,
   "change_24h_pct": 7.36
  },
  {
   "entity": "mexc",
   "balance": 27800679.81975489,
   "balance_usd": 817465.6457735791,
   "change_24h_pct": -0.48
  }
 ]
}

E9network_feesnownodes:bsc:eth_feeHistory

BSC base fee 0.00 gwei (24h average 0.00), blocks 18% full

data

{
 "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:02:00.000Z",
 "chain": "bsc",
 "base_fee_gwei": 0,
 "gas_used_ratio": 0.17840010324285732,
 "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0,
 "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.05304600116499931
}

E10market_contextcoingecko:/coins/markets+/global

Market: BTC +0.16% and ETH +0.31% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.7% in 24h; categories: Artificial Intelligence (AI), BNB Chain Ecosystem, AI Applications, Binance Wallet IDO

data

{
 "trending": false,
 "categories": [
  "Artificial Intelligence (AI)",
  "BNB Chain Ecosystem",
  "AI Applications",
  "Binance Wallet IDO"
 ],
 "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.07147,
 "btc_window_return_pct": 0.16,
 "eth_window_return_pct": 0.31,
 "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.7010988737557584
}

E11market_moodalternative.me:/fng

Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago

data

{
 "day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
 "value": 55,
 "week_ago": 64,
 "classification": "Greed"
}

E12dev_and_communitycoingecko:/coins/{id}

developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 54% positive (as of 2026-10-17)

data

{
 "as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:46.587Z",
 "forks": null,
 "stars": null,
 "commits_4w": null,
 "prs_merged": null,
 "sentiment_up_pct": 53.85,
 "twitter_followers": null,
 "reddit_subscribers": null
}

E13signalscoingraph:signals

Triggered by: price_move (up, medium) at 21:14; price_move (up, medium) at 21:15

data

{
 "signals": [
  {
   "id": "115493",
   "kind": "price_move",
   "ratio": 2.7,
   "value": 3.599,
   "details": {
    "z_1h": 2.7,
    "price": 0.02988417,
    "ret_1h_pct": 3.599,
    "ret_15m_pct": 2.99
   },
   "baseline": 1.319,
   "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:14:00.000Z",
   "severity": 2,
   "direction": "up"
  },
  {
   "id": "115500",
   "kind": "price_move",
   "ratio": 2.63,
   "value": 3.518,
   "details": {
    "z_1h": 2.63,
    "price": 0.02986047,
    "ret_1h_pct": 3.518,
    "ret_15m_pct": 2.67
   },
   "baseline": 1.323,
   "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
   "severity": 2,
   "direction": "up"
  }
 ]
}