What CoinGraph said about world-liberty-financial, exactly as issued.

{
  "id": "1518",
  "token": {
    "id": "world-liberty-financial"
  },
  "headline": "WLFI slips ~1% from $0.0575 to $0.0570 as BTC/ETH rally; OI spike signal unconfirmed",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "Open interest data conflict: the alert says ~$148M (+250%), while the Binance endpoint says $0 (-100% vs 4h ago). At least one is likely wrong.",
      "CoinGecko's +0.58% window return disagrees with its own 15-minute path, which shows a small decline.",
      "Liquidations ($210 total) and onchain flows are too small to have driven price.",
      "There is no news or social data in the evidence; CoinGecko sentiment is 25% positive, a thin signal."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "On Ethereum: 200 WLFI transfers worth $206.8K in the window. Exchange inflows were $30.9K and outflows $30.0K, a net inflow of $950. That is about 25× the typical 15-minute net flow of $37.6, but tiny in dollar terms. There were no large transfers.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Known exchange wallets hold 3.5B WLFI ($203.3M), almost all of it at Binance (+0.23% vs 24h ago). Coinbase's balance rose 46.3%, but that is only $413K. Bybit's rose 3.39%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Holdings on Solana are highly concentrated: the top 10 holders own 89.5% of supply and the top 20 own 93.1%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "WLFI barely moved in the window. The 15-minute price path topped at $0.057542 at 12:00 and drifted down to $0.056953 by 13:30, while BTC rose 1.47% and ETH rose 2.48%. The only clear activity was a short burst of Binance spot selling around 12:29–12:32, which pushed price from $0.0570 to $0.0565. The alert that triggered this brief (open interest up ~250% to ~$148M) conflicts with a separate Binance reading of $0 open interest and is not backed by funding or liquidation data, so we treat it as unverified.",
    "headline": "WLFI slips ~1% from $0.0575 to $0.0570 as BTC/ETH rally; OI spike signal unconfirmed",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 0.4,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether open interest actually holds near $148M on Binance futures (alert) or reads near $0 (Binance endpoint), and whether funding moves away from 0.005%",
      "Whether price holds above the $0.0565 low reached during the 12:32 selling",
      "Whether WLFI starts following BTC/ETH upward or keeps lagging",
      "Further growth in the Coinbase and Bybit wallet balances"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "A short burst of spot selling on Binance between 12:29 and 12:32: the busiest minutes were all down-ticks and took price from $0.0570 to $0.0565. Hourly volume was $249.8K, 1.5× the typical hour of $169.4K.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      },
      {
        "cause": "WLFI moved on its own rather than with the market: it fell while BTC rose 1.47% and ETH rose 2.48%. Nothing in the evidence explains why.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E11"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.4
      },
      {
        "cause": "The derivatives signal (open interest $42M to $148M, +250%) does not explain the move and may be bad data. A real tripling of open interest would usually show up in funding or liquidations, but funding was flat at 0.005% on all three venues and liquidations totalled only $210.",
        "evidence": [
          "E14",
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.2
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "In the 15-minute path, price peaked at $0.057542 at 12:00 and eased to $0.056953 by 13:30, about -1.0% from the peak. Measured from the 11:30 print of $0.057238, it is about -0.5%. CoinGecko's headline window return of +0.58% does not match this path; it appears to reflect the later spot price of $0.057571 at 15:22.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "BTC rose 1.47% and ETH 2.48% over the window, but total crypto market cap is down 2.82% over 24h. The Fear & Greed index reads 53 (Neutral), down from 64 a week ago.",
        "evidence": [
          "E11",
          "E12"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Futures positioning is balanced to mildly long. Funding is 0.005% per 8h on Binance, Bybit and OKX, below the ~0.01% norm. On Binance, the all-account long/short ratio is 1.53 and top traders by position are at 1.10.",
        "evidence": [
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Over longer horizons WLFI is up 1.53% in 24h and 4.53% in 7 days. It ranks #55 with a $1.8B market cap and $29.5M in 24h volume.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "World Liberty Financial",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 0.331336,
          "low": 0.056953,
          "high": 0.057542,
          "rank": 55,
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T15:22:00.000Z",
          "price": 0.057571,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T11:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.057238
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T11:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.057391
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.057542
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T12:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.05729
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.057118
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T12:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.056999
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.056982
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T13:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.05702
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-15T13:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.056953
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 1829844992,
          "volume_24h": 29545041,
          "change_1h_pct": 0.57650984434234,
          "change_7d_pct": 4.53389984384646,
          "change_24h_pct": 1.52582,
          "window_return_pct": 0.58
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "WLFI $0.1 now; +0.58% over the window (high $0.1, low $0.1); 1h +0.58%, 24h +1.53%, 7d +4.53%; rank #55, market cap $1.8B, 24h volume $29.5M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 1.474673585442995,
          "venue": "binance",
          "symbol": "WLFI/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 249832.96543,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "50443.69433",
              "ts": "2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.175",
              "close": "0.0569"
            },
            {
              "v": "48447.17796",
              "ts": "2026-10-15T12:29:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.175",
              "close": "0.057"
            },
            {
              "v": "31472.30759",
              "ts": "2026-10-15T12:54:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.175",
              "close": "0.0569"
            },
            {
              "v": "28718.86025",
              "ts": "2026-10-15T12:31:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.351",
              "close": "0.0567"
            },
            {
              "v": "27948.40072",
              "ts": "2026-10-15T12:32:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.353",
              "close": "0.0565"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 632501.81524,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 169415.77302
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "binance:klines:1m",
        "summary": "binance WLFI/USDT: $249.8K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $169.4K (1.5×); busiest minutes: 12:30 $50.4K (-0.175%), 12:29 $48.4K (-0.175%), 12:54 $31.5K (-0.175%), 12:31 $28.7K (-0.351%), 12:32 $27.9K (-0.353%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T15:19:55.000Z",
          "change_1h_pct": null,
          "change_4h_pct": -100,
          "open_interest_usd": 0
        },
        "kind": "open_interest",
        "source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
        "summary": "Binance futures open interest $0: n/a vs 1h ago, -100% vs 4h ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "rates": [
            {
              "venue": "binanceusdm",
              "symbol": "WLFI/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
            },
            {
              "venue": "bybit",
              "symbol": "WLFI/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
            },
            {
              "venue": "okx",
              "symbol": "WLFI/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "funding",
        "source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
        "summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0050%, bybit 0.0050%, okx 0.0050% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T15:15:00.000Z",
          "taker_buy_sell": null,
          "global_long_short": 1.5349,
          "top_account_long_short": 2.3167,
          "top_position_long_short": 1.0987
        },
        "kind": "positioning",
        "source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
        "summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 1.53, top traders by position 1.10, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "count": 2,
          "longs_usd": 9.6798,
          "total_usd": 209.919,
          "shorts_usd": 200.2392,
          "largest_usd": 200.2392
        },
        "kind": "liquidations",
        "source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
        "summary": "2 forced liquidations worth $209.9 in the window: $9.7 longs, $200.2 shorts; largest $200.2"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "chain": "eth",
          "transfers": 200,
          "volume_usd": 206755.05857823818,
          "large_transfers": 0,
          "exchange_net_usd": 950.5392260606194,
          "exchange_inflow_usd": 30935.168098165366,
          "exchange_outflow_usd": 29984.628872104746,
          "median_volume_15m_7d": 2538.8739721935,
          "median_abs_net_15m_7d": 37.6297311946711
        },
        "kind": "exchange_flows",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_getLogs",
        "summary": "Onchain (ETH): 200 transfers worth $206.8K in the window; $30.9K moved onto exchanges, $30K left exchanges → net inflow of $950.5 (typical 15-min |net| $37.6)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "by_exchange": [
            {
              "entity": "binance",
              "balance": 3453471446.658734,
              "balance_usd": 198595329.0115572,
              "change_24h_pct": 0.23
            },
            {
              "entity": "bybit",
              "balance": 43667361.28839277,
              "balance_usd": 2511135.2782503143,
              "change_24h_pct": 3.39
            },
            {
              "entity": "gate",
              "balance": 29440119.492653213,
              "balance_usd": 1692983.5115445156,
              "change_24h_pct": 0.56
            },
            {
              "entity": "coinbase",
              "balance": 7183156.362359256,
              "balance_usd": 413074.58977383137,
              "change_24h_pct": 46.3
            },
            {
              "entity": "mexc",
              "balance": 1223464.6441537768,
              "balance_usd": 70356.5578267071,
              "change_24h_pct": 2.66
            },
            {
              "entity": "crypto.com",
              "balance": 157717.53735527475,
              "balance_usd": 9069.70470315243,
              "change_24h_pct": -5.35
            },
            {
              "entity": "robinhood",
              "balance": 0.014702182702750217,
              "balance_usd": 0.000845463718504354,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "kucoin",
              "balance": 0,
              "balance_usd": 0,
              "change_24h_pct": null
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "exchange_reserves",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 3.5B WLFI ($203.3M): binance 3.5B (+0.23% vs 24h ago), bybit 44M (+3.39% vs 24h ago), gate 29M (+0.56% vs 24h ago), coinbase 7.2M (+46.3% vs 24h ago)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T00:50:00.000Z",
          "chain": "sol",
          "top10_pct": 89.45285337716065,
          "top20_pct": 93.07949117735839
        },
        "kind": "holder_concentration",
        "source": "nownodes:sol:getTokenLargestAccounts",
        "summary": "Top 10 holders own 89.5% of supply, top 20 93.1% (SOL, as of 2026-10-15T00:50)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T15:17:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 1.1147792656666673,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5203204507307264,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.23114804042194445,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.7994544435866667
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 1.11 gwei (24h average 0.23), blocks 52% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E11",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "BNB Chain Ecosystem",
            "Solana Ecosystem",
            "Ethereum Ecosystem",
            "Stablecoin Issuer",
            "Made in USA",
            "Trump-Affiliated"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": 0.41565,
          "btc_window_return_pct": 1.47,
          "eth_window_return_pct": 2.48,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.8197502340927096
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC +1.47% and ETH +2.48% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.82% in 24h; categories: BNB Chain Ecosystem, Solana Ecosystem, Ethereum Ecosystem, Stablecoin Issuer"
      },
      {
        "id": "E12",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-15T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 53,
          "week_ago": 64,
          "classification": "Neutral"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 53 (Neutral) today, 64 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E13",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-15T00:00:42.578Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 25,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 25% positive (as of 2026-10-15)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E14",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "96102",
              "kind": "oi_change",
              "ratio": 252.03,
              "value": 148359288,
              "details": {
                "oi_usd": 148359288,
                "change_pct": 252.03,
                "oi_usd_1h_ago": 42144432
              },
              "baseline": 42144432,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-15T13:20:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            },
            {
              "id": "96789",
              "kind": "oi_change",
              "ratio": 248.94,
              "value": 148307318,
              "details": {
                "oi_usd": 148307318,
                "change_pct": 248.94,
                "oi_usd_1h_ago": 42501884
              },
              "baseline": 42501884,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-15T13:35:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: oi_change (up, high) at 13:20; oi_change (up, high) at 13:35"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "WLFI",
    "window_to": "2026-10-15T13:36:09.548Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-15T15:23:32.032Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-15T11:36:09.548Z",
    "coingecko_id": "world-liberty-financial"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}