Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about dogecoin, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-17 21:37:53 UTC · id 1865

DOGE -2% in 15 min to $0.0785; volume 3x normal, $426K of longs liquidated

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60 source calls recorded around issue time

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SHA-256 fingerprint

6a19606f73596ad3d7d4c1fed94f0dfc05518bfc294fe8911887db202bd45427

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curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1865

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
coingecko/coins/markets21:37:41446 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m21:37:178316 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m21:37:06876 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m21:37:06979 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m21:37:064154 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m21:37:065819 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m21:37:061904 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets21:36:41407 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf21:36:34591 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation21:36:321891 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf21:36:31370 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation21:36:301004 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf21:36:29828 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation21:36:271465 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m21:36:178416 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m21:36:066099 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m21:36:06884 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m21:36:066288 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m21:36:063957 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m21:36:06865 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets21:35:41514 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m21:35:3133445 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf21:35:30380 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation21:35:29276 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf21:35:29398 ms✓
The exact object (9,881 bytes)
{
  "id": "1865",
  "token": {
    "id": "dogecoin"
  },
  "headline": "DOGE -2% in 15 min to $0.0785; volume 3x normal, $426K of longs liquidated",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "E1's summary rounds the high, low and price to $0.1. Use the raw data: high $0.080208, low on the 15m path $0.079316, current $0.078495.",
      "The liquidation figures differ between E6 (window, $507K) and E11 (15m, $561K) because they cover different time spans and sources.",
      "Taker buy/sell data was unavailable (null).",
      "There is no news, social or DOGE onchain flow data, so the initial seller or catalyst cannot be identified.",
      "The move happened at the very end of the window and evidence was gathered minutes later, so it may still be developing."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "The evidence set contains no DOGE-chain flow data. The only onchain item is Ethereum gas: base fee 0.07 gwei against a 0.06 gwei 24h average, blocks 56% full. That is quiet and not relevant to the DOGE move.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "DOGE edged up from $0.0798 to $0.0802 over most of the window, then fell about 2% in the last 15 minutes to $0.0785. Volume rose to about 3x normal and long liquidations clustered at the same time. A long-heavy positioning skew was flushed during a weaker broader market. The evidence includes no news or onchain trigger, so the cause of the first selling is unknown.",
    "headline": "DOGE -2% in 15 min to $0.0785; volume 3x normal, $426K of longs liquidated",
    "severity": 2,
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 0.6,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether $0.0785 holds or the drop continues toward fresh lows on high volume",
      "Open interest: further declines mean more deleveraging, while a rebound with price down would mean new shorts",
      "Whether the long/short ratio stays above 2.5; while it does, more long liquidations remain possible",
      "Funding turning negative across venues",
      "BTC/ETH direction, since DOGE is tracking the broader market at higher beta"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "A long-liquidation cascade: crowded long positioning was forced out once price broke lower, which made the drop bigger.",
        "evidence": [
          "E5",
          "E6",
          "E11",
          "E3",
          "E2"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6
      },
      {
        "text": "",
        "cause": "Broader market weakness: BTC and ETH also fell over the window and total crypto market cap is down about 3% in 24h. DOGE fell further than BTC or ETH, which fits higher beta.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8",
          "E9"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.4
      },
      {
        "cause": "The evidence does not show what started the selling. There is no news, whale flow or exchange-deposit data.",
        "evidence": [
          "E10"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.3
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "Price drifted up from $0.07981 (19:30) to a window high of $0.08021 (21:15). It then fell to $0.07932 by 21:30 and $0.07850 by 21:36. That is -1.65% over the window, -1.99% over 1h and -2.0% over 15m.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E11"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "On Binance, DOGE/USDT traded $3.06M in the last hour, against a typical hour of $976K (3.1x). The 21:32 minute alone traded $1.19M (-0.18%). The minutes at 21:29 and 21:31 fell 0.58% and 0.52%. Volume over 15 minutes was 8.9x its 24h median.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2",
          "E11"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Over the window, 109 forced liquidations totalled $507K: $426K longs and $81K shorts, with the largest at $159K. The 15-minute liquidation signal recorded $561K, almost all longs, which is 58x the 24h 15-minute average.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6",
          "E11"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Binance futures open interest fell 1.67% over 1h to $212.5M, but is only -0.11% over 4h.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Over the same window BTC was -0.58% and ETH -1.25%. Total crypto market cap is -2.97% over 24h. DOGE is -2.62% over 24h and -8.73% over 7d.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8",
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Positioning leans long: the all-accounts long/short ratio is 2.55 and top traders are at 3.32. Funding is near neutral: Binance 0.0025%, Bybit 0.0043%, OKX -0.0014% per 8h.",
        "evidence": [
          "E5",
          "E4"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Fear & Greed is at 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Dogecoin",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 0.731578,
          "low": 0.079316,
          "high": 0.080208,
          "rank": 12,
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:36:00.000Z",
          "price": 0.078495,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T19:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.079808
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.079921
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.08
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.080081
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.080067
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.080099
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.080142
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.080208
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.079316
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 12298831511,
          "volume_24h": 450619540,
          "change_1h_pct": -1.9890620317650585,
          "change_7d_pct": -8.733111643373718,
          "change_24h_pct": -2.61906,
          "window_return_pct": -1.65
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "DOGE $0.1 now; -1.65% over the window (high $0.1, low $0.1); 1h -1.99%, 24h -2.62%, 7d -8.73%; rank #12, market cap $12.3B, 24h volume $450.6M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 3.134921995404574,
          "venue": "binance",
          "symbol": "DOGE/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 3060489.75884,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "1186351.26203",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:32:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.178",
              "close": "0.07866"
            },
            {
              "v": "274383.33637",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.482",
              "close": "0.07922"
            },
            {
              "v": "265166.89754",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:31:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.518",
              "close": "0.0788"
            },
            {
              "v": "162726.39962",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:29:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.580",
              "close": "0.07885"
            },
            {
              "v": "131882.59836",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:25:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.238",
              "close": "0.07965"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 3486731.75058,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 976257.06902
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "binance:klines:1m",
        "summary": "binance DOGE/USDT: $3.1M traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $976.3K (3.1×); busiest minutes: 21:32 $1.2M (-0.178%), 21:30 $274.4K (+0.482%), 21:31 $265.2K (-0.518%), 21:29 $162.7K (-0.58%), 21:25 $131.9K (-0.238%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
          "change_1h_pct": -1.67,
          "change_4h_pct": -0.11,
          "open_interest_usd": 212475514.7911204
        },
        "kind": "open_interest",
        "source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
        "summary": "Binance futures open interest $212.5M: -1.67% vs 1h ago, -0.11% vs 4h ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "rates": [
            {
              "venue": "binanceusdm",
              "symbol": "DOGE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.002474
            },
            {
              "venue": "bybit",
              "symbol": "DOGE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.004282
            },
            {
              "venue": "okx",
              "symbol": "DOGE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": -0.00137591485269
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "funding",
        "source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
        "summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0025%, bybit 0.0043%, okx -0.0014% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
          "taker_buy_sell": null,
          "global_long_short": 2.5461,
          "top_account_long_short": 3.3253,
          "top_position_long_short": 3.319
        },
        "kind": "positioning",
        "source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
        "summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 2.55, top traders by position 3.32, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "count": 109,
          "longs_usd": 426207.7025,
          "total_usd": 507001.3057,
          "shorts_usd": 80793.60320000001,
          "largest_usd": 159020
        },
        "kind": "liquidations",
        "source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
        "summary": "109 forced liquidations worth $507K in the window: $426.2K longs, $80.8K shorts; largest $159K"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T21:32:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.06532291353333333,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5582802178036255,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06184458348666667,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.1882396755066667
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.07 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 56% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "Meme",
            "Dog-Themed",
            "Elon Musk-Inspired",
            "Proof of Work (PoW)",
            "GMCI Meme Index",
            "GMCI 30 Index",
            "GMCI Index",
            "Coinbase 50 Index",
            "4chan-Themed"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.83549,
          "btc_window_return_pct": -0.58,
          "eth_window_return_pct": -1.25,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.96731501288777
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC -0.58% and ETH -1.25% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.97% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, Meme, Dog-Themed, Elon Musk-Inspired"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 55,
          "week_ago": 64,
          "classification": "Greed"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:24.627Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 100,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E11",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "115559",
              "kind": "volume_spike",
              "ratio": 8.93,
              "value": 1953189,
              "details": {
                "median_15m_24h": 218619,
                "volume_usd_15m": 1953189
              },
              "baseline": 218619,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:36:59.579Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "neutral"
            },
            {
              "id": "115583",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 4.93,
              "value": -1.989,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 4.93,
                "price": 0.078495,
                "ret_1h_pct": -1.989,
                "ret_15m_pct": -2.001
              },
              "baseline": 0.409,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:36:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "down"
            },
            {
              "id": "115571",
              "kind": "liquidation_cluster",
              "ratio": 58.3,
              "value": 560822,
              "details": {
                "longs_usd": 560719,
                "avg_15m_24h": 9622,
                "liquidated_usd_15m": 560822
              },
              "baseline": 9622,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:36:07.139Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "down"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: volume_spike (neutral, high) at 21:36; price_move (down, high) at 21:36; liquidation_cluster (down, medium) at 21:36"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "DOGE",
    "window_to": "2026-10-17T21:32:12.499Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-17T21:37:34.227Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-17T19:32:12.499Z",
    "coingecko_id": "dogecoin"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}