Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about litecoin, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-17 22:16:43 UTC · id 1867

LTC -1.5% in a late sell-off at 21:25–21:32, volume 2.8×; no catalyst in evidence

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60 source calls recorded around issue time

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SHA-256 fingerprint

2850c493783d00fcb8ea091aa97205983ed8b1b7a62890668e49ffa03b9a5f40

The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.

Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1867

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
nownodesbsc:eth_getLogs22:16:411484 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets22:16:40426 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:16:228197 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m22:16:195863 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m22:16:127320 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m22:16:09867 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m22:16:08913 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m22:16:083986 ms✓
nownodeseth:eth_getLogs22:16:0111163 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets22:15:40395 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:15:3910815 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m22:15:386535 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m22:15:3035797 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m22:15:2536180 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m22:15:221024 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m22:15:2111207 ms✓
ccxt:bybitfetchFundingRates22:15:20133 ms✓
ccxt:okxfetchFundingRates22:15:19216 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m22:15:181692 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfetchFundingRates22:15:17202 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m22:15:108500 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m22:15:09872 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m22:15:094186 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets22:14:40806 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:14:228962 ms✓
The exact object (9,553 bytes)
{
  "id": "1867",
  "token": {
    "id": "litecoin"
  },
  "headline": "LTC -1.5% in a late sell-off at 21:25–21:32, volume 2.8×; no catalyst in evidence",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "The E1 window high/low ($59.33/$58.66) comes from 15-minute samples and misses the intra-minute low and the post-window low of $57.75 reported in E11.",
      "Several data points (current price, OI, sentiment) are timestamped about 22:15, after the window ended.",
      "The evidence has no news, LTC onchain flows or exchange-flow data, so the cause is unconfirmed.",
      "Taker buy/sell ratio was unavailable."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "The evidence contains no Litecoin-chain data. The only onchain item covers Ethereum gas: base fee 0.08 gwei vs a 0.06 gwei 24h average, blocks 47% full. It has no bearing on LTC.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "LTC held flat around $59.2–59.3 for most of the window. Between 21:25 and 21:32 UTC it broke down to about $58.3 on Binance volume running 2.8× normal, and it reached $57.75 by 21:40, after the window ended. LTC fell more than BTC (-0.2%) and ETH (-1.01%) over the same window. Open interest dipped a little and liquidations were small, so this looks like a modest round of selling and position-cutting rather than a liquidation cascade. The evidence shows no specific trigger.",
    "headline": "LTC -1.5% in a late sell-off at 21:25–21:32, volume 2.8×; no catalyst in evidence",
    "severity": 2,
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 0.6,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether price holds above the $57.75 low from 21:40 or retests it",
      "Whether open interest keeps falling, which would mean more long unwinding, given long/short ratios of about 2–3",
      "Funding turning negative",
      "Whether LTC's underperformance against BTC and ETH continues",
      "Binance volume settling back toward about $400K/hour"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "Selling specific to LTC on spot and futures, plus some long de-risking. Volume rose 2.8× just as price broke down, open interest fell 1.37% in 1h, and liquidations leaned long ($34.6K of $40.7K). The liquidation total is too small to have driven the move.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2",
          "E3",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      },
      {
        "cause": "A softer broader market added some weakness: total market cap was -3.44% over 24h, ETH -1.01% and BTC -0.2% over the window. LTC fell more than both, so market beta explains only part of the move.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35
      },
      {
        "cause": "The evidence names no specific catalyst, such as news, a large transfer or an exchange inflow. The direct cause of the 21:25 breakdown is unexplained.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E2"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "The 15-minute price path held between $59.20 and $59.33 from 19:30 to 21:15, then dropped to $58.66 at 21:30. The window return was -1.47%. At 22:15 the price was $58.37 (1h -1.62%, 24h -1.65%, 7d -8.73%).",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The selling was concentrated in the last minutes of the window. Binance's busiest minutes were 21:25 ($41.9K, -0.25%), 21:26 ($67K, -0.085%) and 21:32 ($122.3K, -0.12%, close $58.30). Last-hour volume was $1.1M against a typical hour of $406.5K (2.8×).",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGraph signals fired at 21:29 (1h -0.96%, z 2.63) and at 21:40 (1h -2.52%, 15m -2.14%, price $57.75, z 6.42). This means the decline went on past the window's end before price partly recovered to $58.37 by 22:15.",
        "evidence": [
          "E11",
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Leverage looks light, but positioning leans long. Funding was about 0.0024–0.0027% per 8h on Binance, Bybit and OKX, below the ~0.01% norm. Binance long/short ratios were 2.06 across all accounts and 2.95 for top traders by position. Binance futures open interest was $69.1M (-1.37% 1h, -0.29% 4h).",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Sentiment is cooling. Fear & Greed is at 55, down from 64 a week ago. LTC is down 8.73% over 7 days. CoinGecko community sentiment is 79% positive.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9",
          "E1",
          "E10"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Litecoin",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 410.26,
          "low": 58.66,
          "high": 59.33,
          "rank": 24,
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:15:00.000Z",
          "price": 58.37,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T19:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.24
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.27
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.32
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.25
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.2
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.32
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.31
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 59.33
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 58.66
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 4536584005,
          "volume_24h": 200775754,
          "change_1h_pct": -1.6180684308107196,
          "change_7d_pct": -8.72556684910086,
          "change_24h_pct": -1.64706,
          "window_return_pct": -1.47
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "LTC $58.4 now; -1.47% over the window (high $59.3, low $58.7); 1h -1.62%, 24h -1.65%, 7d -8.73%; rank #24, market cap $4.5B, 24h volume $200.8M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 2.7807536141061577,
          "venue": "binance",
          "symbol": "LTC/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 1130354.03818,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "122338.67168",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:32:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.120",
              "close": "58.3"
            },
            {
              "v": "66977.16929",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:26:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.085",
              "close": "58.76"
            },
            {
              "v": "41904.24484",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:25:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.254",
              "close": "58.82"
            },
            {
              "v": "37141.08347",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.205",
              "close": "58.57"
            },
            {
              "v": "29491.33182",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T19:43:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.067",
              "close": "59.33"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 996701.86793,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 406491.97845
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "binance:klines:1m",
        "summary": "binance LTC/USDT: $1.1M traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $406.5K (2.8×); busiest minutes: 21:32 $122.3K (-0.12%), 21:26 $67K (-0.085%), 21:25 $41.9K (-0.254%), 21:30 $37.1K (+0.205%), 19:43 $29.5K (-0.067%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:15:00.000Z",
          "change_1h_pct": -1.37,
          "change_4h_pct": -0.29,
          "open_interest_usd": 69102399.915
        },
        "kind": "open_interest",
        "source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
        "summary": "Binance futures open interest $69.1M: -1.37% vs 1h ago, -0.29% vs 4h ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "rates": [
            {
              "venue": "binanceusdm",
              "symbol": "LTC/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.0025429999999999997
            },
            {
              "venue": "bybit",
              "symbol": "LTC/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.002716
            },
            {
              "venue": "okx",
              "symbol": "LTC/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.00235378153117
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "funding",
        "source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
        "summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0025%, bybit 0.0027%, okx 0.0024% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:15:00.000Z",
          "taker_buy_sell": null,
          "global_long_short": 2.0618,
          "top_account_long_short": 2.8536,
          "top_position_long_short": 2.9478
        },
        "kind": "positioning",
        "source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
        "summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 2.06, top traders by position 2.95, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "count": 16,
          "longs_usd": 34566.098000000005,
          "total_usd": 40694.69,
          "shorts_usd": 6128.591999999997,
          "largest_usd": 16206.644000000002
        },
        "kind": "liquidations",
        "source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
        "summary": "16 forced liquidations worth $40.7K in the window: $34.6K longs, $6.1K shorts; largest $16.2K"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:02:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.08151786723999999,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.46795497699281224,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06298344146638889,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.03902263117333331
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.08 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 47% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Infrastructure",
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "Layer 1 (L1)",
            "Proof of Work (PoW)",
            "GMCI 30 Index",
            "GMCI Index",
            "Made in USA",
            "Coinbase 50 Index",
            "Privacy"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.49668,
          "btc_window_return_pct": -0.2,
          "eth_window_return_pct": -1.01,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.441600079626158
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC -0.2% and ETH -1.01% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.44% in 24h; categories: Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Proof of Work (PoW)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 55,
          "week_ago": 64,
          "classification": "Greed"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:28.070Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 78.57,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 79% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E11",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "115591",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 6.42,
              "value": -2.515,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 6.42,
                "price": 57.75,
                "ret_1h_pct": -2.515,
                "ret_15m_pct": -2.135
              },
              "baseline": 0.397,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:40:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "down"
            },
            {
              "id": "115535",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 2.63,
              "value": -0.963,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 2.63,
                "price": 58.65,
                "ret_1h_pct": -0.963,
                "ret_15m_pct": -1.113
              },
              "baseline": 0.369,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:29:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "down"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, high) at 21:40; price_move (down, medium) at 21:29"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "LTC",
    "window_to": "2026-10-17T21:32:13.518Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-17T22:16:24.324Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-17T19:32:13.518Z",
    "coingecko_id": "litecoin"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}