Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about memecore, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-17 22:37:34 UTC · id 1882

M -2.3% in late-window drop to $0.744 on thin volume; window -1.23%, close to ETH

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60 source calls recorded around issue time

◷ Chainlink CRE attestation

Pending: the workflow attests new proofs every few minutes; the fingerprint above is the commitment

SHA-256 fingerprint

f25774bbbd35aed34ca867f9dc3be8962e1d52646a0f106a7eedd1b820b5682e

The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.

Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1882

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:37:227764 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m22:37:185807 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m22:37:09867 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m22:37:091964 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m22:37:07940 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m22:37:074176 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets22:36:40464 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:36:207781 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m22:36:185887 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m22:36:105430 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m22:36:10862 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m22:36:091009 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m22:36:094002 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf22:35:51294 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation22:35:491176 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf22:35:49266 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation22:35:471178 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf22:35:47651 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation22:35:45848 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets22:35:40413 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m22:35:3033096 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m22:35:228132 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m22:35:209909 ms✓
ccxt:bybitfetchFundingRates22:35:18165 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m22:35:186018 ms✓
The exact object (10,377 bytes)
{
  "id": "1882",
  "token": {
    "id": "memecore"
  },
  "headline": "M -2.3% in late-window drop to $0.744 on thin volume; window -1.23%, close to ETH",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "Volume is very low ($607K over 24h on CoinGecko, about $9.7K on Gate in the window), so price moves may come from small orders and not reflect the wider market.",
      "We have no volume from the main spot venues and no taker buy/sell data from Binance futures.",
      "The exchange-wallet set is tiny (Gate, about 11 M), so the onchain exchange-flow data may miss real flows, including those on other chains.",
      "The evidence includes no news or social data, so a catalyst cannot be ruled out."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "BSC saw 56 M transfers worth $4.4K in the window. There were no exchange inflows or outflows and no large transfers, so the data shows no sign of deposits to sell.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Known exchange wallets hold only about 11 M ($8.8), all at Gate, unchanged over 24h. This does not tell us anything about exchange supply.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "BSC network is quiet: base fee about 0 gwei, blocks 17% full.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "MemeCore held around $0.760–0.763 for most of the window. Between 21:15 and 21:45 UTC it fell from $0.7617 to $0.7444, which set off two medium-severity down signals. Over the full window it lost 1.23%, close to ETH's -1.18% during a weak overall market. Trading was thin and nothing in the derivatives or onchain data explains the drop. By 22:36 UTC the price had recovered to $0.753, up 1.1% over 1h.",
    "headline": "M -2.3% in late-window drop to $0.744 on thin volume; window -1.23%, close to ETH",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 0.45,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether $0.744 holds as support, or the 7d downtrend (-24%) continues below it",
      "Whether the recovery to $0.753 holds on rising volume",
      "BSC exchange inflows, which would be the first onchain sign of supply heading to exchanges",
      "Open interest growing while funding stays low, with longs at 1.79×: a further drop could force long liquidations",
      "BTC and ETH direction, since M has been moving with the broad market"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "Market-wide weakness: M fell about as much as ETH in the same window while total crypto market cap was down 3.33% over 24h. The move looks like part of a broad decline, not something specific to M.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9",
          "E1"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.45
      },
      {
        "cause": "Very low liquidity, which lets small orders move the price by a few percent. The drop happened while Gate per-minute volume was around $1K or less.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E2"
        ],
        "text_note": "",
        "confidence": 0.35
      },
      {
        "cause": "No direct catalyst found. Derivatives show no liquidation or crowding signal, onchain data shows no exchange flows, and the evidence includes no news.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "Price stayed between $0.760 and $0.763 from 19:45 to 21:15 UTC. It then fell to $0.7519 at 21:30 and $0.7444 at 21:45, the window low. That is about -2.3% from 21:15. Over the full window it fell 1.23% (high $0.7631, low $0.7444).",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGraph fired two medium-severity price_move signals. The one at 21:34 showed -2.32% over 1h and -2.46% over 15m (z 2.89, price $0.7431). The one at 21:46 showed -2.15% over 1h (z 2.63).",
        "evidence": [
          "E12"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "After the window the price partly recovered: $0.7530 at 22:36 UTC, +1.12% over 1h but still -4.18% over 24h and -24.23% over 7d.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Trading was very thin. CoinGecko shows $607K of 24h volume against a $1.7B market cap. Gate M/USDT traded only $9.7K over the whole window and $1.4K in the last hour, 0.6× a normal hour. Its busiest minutes, 21:25–21:30 UTC, saw at most about $1.4K per minute, with returns between -0.57% and +0.28%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E2"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Over the same window BTC fell 0.38% and ETH fell 1.18%. Total crypto market cap is down 3.33% over 24h, and M is not trending.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Crypto Fear & Greed is at 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago.",
        "evidence": [
          "E10"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Binance futures open interest is $3.2M, up 1.07% over 1h and down 1.88% over 4h. Funding is 0.005% per 8h on Binance and Bybit, below the usual ~0.01%. The long/short ratio is 1.79 across all accounts and 1.64 for top traders by position. Positioning leans long but is not stretched, and there is no sign of forced selling. Taker buy/sell data is not available.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "MemeCore",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 5.64,
          "low": 0.744378,
          "high": 0.763104,
          "rank": 58,
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:36:00.000Z",
          "price": 0.753014,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.762381
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.761593
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.763104
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.760101
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.760837
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.760392
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.761735
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.751944
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 0.744378
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 1722553320,
          "volume_24h": 607173,
          "change_1h_pct": 1.11615115844996,
          "change_7d_pct": -24.23423160551017,
          "change_24h_pct": -4.17994,
          "window_return_pct": -1.23
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "M $0.8 now; -1.23% over the window (high $0.8, low $0.7); 1h +1.12%, 24h -4.18%, 7d -24.23%; rank #58, market cap $1.7B, 24h volume $607.2K"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 0.5909616584887254,
          "venue": "gate",
          "symbol": "M/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 1390.94499,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "1386.03752",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:28:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.280",
              "close": "0.7523"
            },
            {
              "v": "1072.41797",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:26:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.227",
              "close": "0.7501"
            },
            {
              "v": "847.68309",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:25:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.571",
              "close": "0.7493"
            },
            {
              "v": "514.33256",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T20:14:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.209",
              "close": "0.7622"
            },
            {
              "v": "396.29319",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.493",
              "close": "0.7473"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 9700.7095,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 2353.69752
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "gate:klines:1m",
        "summary": "gate M/USDT: $1.4K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $2.4K (0.6×); busiest minutes: 21:28 $1.4K (+0.28%), 21:26 $1.1K (+0.227%), 21:25 $847.7 (-0.571%), 20:14 $514.3 (-0.209%), 21:30 $396.3 (-0.493%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:30:00.000Z",
          "change_1h_pct": 1.07,
          "change_4h_pct": -1.88,
          "open_interest_usd": 3162044.36013262
        },
        "kind": "open_interest",
        "source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
        "summary": "Binance futures open interest $3.2M: +1.07% vs 1h ago, -1.88% vs 4h ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "rates": [
            {
              "venue": "binanceusdm",
              "symbol": "M/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
            },
            {
              "venue": "bybit",
              "symbol": "M/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.005
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "funding",
        "source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
        "summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0050%, bybit 0.0050% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:30:00.000Z",
          "taker_buy_sell": null,
          "global_long_short": 1.7941,
          "top_account_long_short": 1.8637,
          "top_position_long_short": 1.6442
        },
        "kind": "positioning",
        "source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
        "summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 1.79, top traders by position 1.64, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "chain": "bsc",
          "transfers": 56,
          "volume_usd": 4441.83730066659,
          "large_transfers": 0,
          "exchange_net_usd": 0,
          "exchange_inflow_usd": 0,
          "exchange_outflow_usd": 0,
          "median_volume_15m_7d": 89.9706356418481,
          "median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0
        },
        "kind": "exchange_flows",
        "source": "nownodes:bsc:eth_getLogs",
        "summary": "Onchain (BSC): 56 transfers worth $4.4K in the window; $0 moved onto exchanges, $0 left exchanges → net outflow of $0 (typical 15-min |net| $0)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "by_exchange": [
            {
              "entity": "gate",
              "balance": 11.21114261663338,
              "balance_usd": 8.769882678433612,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "exchange_reserves",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 11 M ($8.8): gate 11 (0% vs 24h ago)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T22:32:00.000Z",
          "chain": "bsc",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.17065655078571454,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.056243041744999625
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:bsc:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "BSC base fee 0.00 gwei (24h average 0.00), blocks 17% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "BNB Chain Ecosystem",
            "Layer 1 (L1)",
            "Meme",
            "Binance Alpha Spotlight",
            "MemeCore Ecosystem"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.59126,
          "btc_window_return_pct": -0.38,
          "eth_window_return_pct": -1.18,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.328220548065851
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC -0.38% and ETH -1.18% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.33% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, BNB Chain Ecosystem, Layer 1 (L1), Meme"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 55,
          "week_ago": 64,
          "classification": "Greed"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E11",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:36.126Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 100,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E12",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "115699",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 2.89,
              "value": -2.319,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 2.89,
                "price": 0.743062,
                "ret_1h_pct": -2.319,
                "ret_15m_pct": -2.462
              },
              "baseline": 0.815,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:34:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "down"
            },
            {
              "id": "116498",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 2.63,
              "value": -2.148,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 2.63,
                "price": 0.744493,
                "ret_1h_pct": -2.148,
                "ret_15m_pct": -0.947
              },
              "baseline": 0.828,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:46:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "down"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, medium) at 21:34; price_move (down, medium) at 21:46"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "M",
    "window_to": "2026-10-17T21:46:25.921Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-17T22:37:11.722Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-17T19:46:25.921Z",
    "coingecko_id": "memecore"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}