Proof · Brief
What CoinGraph said about cosmos, exactly as issued.
Issued 2026-10-17 23:30:50 UTC · id 1890
ATOM -1.2% to $1.68 in late-window slide on thin Binance volume; no clear catalyst
Read the full brief →✓ Fingerprint
Computed from the stored object
✓ Sources
60 source calls recorded around issue time
◷ Chainlink CRE attestation
Pending: the workflow attests new proofs every few minutes; the fingerprint above is the commitment
SHA-256 fingerprint
5fea790d620a0e84967ece3e56549b8410b98d0fa17bce1de4d8848b76cb91baThe fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.
Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1890Source calls behind it
| Provider | Endpoint | At (UTC) | Latency | OK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:30:41 | 452 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | futuresSentiment:5m | 23:30:31 | 33730 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | openInterestHist:5m | 23:30:21 | 9362 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:30:18 | 9960 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:17 | 140 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:30:16 | 6657 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:16 | 223 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:15 | 138 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 1578 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 4193 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 891 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:30:09 | 1124 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:29:41 | 375 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:29:17 | 8572 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:29:14 | 5954 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:29:08 | 1691 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:29:08 | 870 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:29:07 | 975 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:29:07 | 4189 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:28:41 | 425 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:28:16 | 8414 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:28:14 | 6107 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:28:08 | 1534 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:28:07 | 874 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:28:07 | 1663 ms | ✓ |
The exact object (11,301 bytes)
{
"id": "1890",
"token": {
"id": "cosmos"
},
"headline": "ATOM -1.2% to $1.68 in late-window slide on thin Binance volume; no clear catalyst",
"brief": {
"caveats": [
"The headline E1 summary rounds high, low and current price to $1.7; the actual range in the data is $1.68–1.72.",
"Volume data covers Binance spot only, and the sample is very small. Other venues may have traded more.",
"OI, positioning and exchange-balance readings (E3, E5, E8) are timestamped after the window, around 23:20–23:30 UTC.",
"Onchain data covers only the BSC and Ethereum token representations, not the native Cosmos Hub chain.",
"Global market cap is -3.45% in 24h while BTC is only -0.46% in 24h. The broad decline may be concentrated outside BTC.",
"No news evidence was provided, so a specific catalyst cannot be ruled in or out."
],
"onchain": [
{
"text": "BSC-pegged ATOM activity was negligible: 139 transfers worth $1.3K, net exchange outflow of $18, no large transfers. This does not bear on price.",
"evidence": [
"E7"
]
},
{
"text": "The tracked Binance wallet holds 276K ATOM ($469K) on its Ethereum representation, up 5.23% vs 24h ago. That is a small absolute increase in exchange-held supply, mildly bearish at most. It is a 24h figure and is not tied to the window.",
"evidence": [
"E8"
]
},
{
"text": "Native Cosmos Hub chain data is not part of the evidence.",
"evidence": [
"E7",
"E9"
]
}
],
"summary": "ATOM held flat at $1.71–1.72 for most of the window, then fell to about $1.67–1.68 between 21:15 and 21:45 UTC. That drop set off CoinGraph price-move signals (1h z-score 5.14). The move happened on very thin volume (Binance spot at 0.3× a typical hour), with only $3.6K of liquidations and neutral funding. The evidence points to weak liquidity and a soft overall market, not a specific seller or event. The trend is still down over a longer horizon (-3.6% 24h, -12.8% 7d).",
"headline": "ATOM -1.2% to $1.68 in late-window slide on thin Binance volume; no clear catalyst",
"severity": 1,
"direction": "bearish",
"confidence": 0.5,
"watch_next": [
"Whether $1.67–1.68 holds as support or the 7d downtrend continues",
"Whether Binance spot volume comes back toward its ~$43K/hour median, which would show if the move had real participation",
"Funding turning more negative or OI rising during further declines (new shorts building)",
"Further increases in Binance-held ATOM balances",
"How BTC and ETH move, given ATOM's correlation with the broader market"
],
"likely_causes": [
{
"cause": "Price drift in thin liquidity: small sell flow moved the price because order-book activity was well below normal",
"evidence": [
"E2",
"E1",
"E13"
],
"confidence": 0.5
},
{
"cause": "Broad market weakness: ETH fell 1.04% and BTC 0.39% over the same window, and total crypto market cap is down 3.45% in 24h, extending ATOM's -12.8% weekly downtrend",
"evidence": [
"E10",
"E1"
],
"confidence": 0.4
},
{
"cause": "Leveraged long liquidations: not supported. Only $3.6K of long liquidations, too small to have driven the move",
"evidence": [
"E6"
],
"confidence": 0.1
},
{
"cause": "No ATOM-specific catalyst (news, large transfers, exchange deposits) shows up in the evidence",
"evidence": [
"E7",
"E8",
"E12"
],
"confidence": 0.5
}
],
"what_happened": [
{
"text": "ATOM moved between $1.71 and $1.72 from 19:45 to 21:15 UTC. It then fell to $1.69 by 21:30 and $1.68 by 21:45, for a -1.16% window return (high $1.72, low $1.68).",
"evidence": [
"E1"
]
},
{
"text": "CoinGraph flagged a high-severity downside price move at 21:39 (price $1.67, -2.91% over 1h, -2.34% over 15m, z=5.14). A medium-severity signal followed at 21:45 (-2.33% over 1h, z=3.95).",
"evidence": [
"E13"
]
},
{
"text": "On Binance ATOM/USDT, $14.4K traded in the last hour against a typical $43.3K (0.33×). The busiest minutes were all between 21:24 and 21:32, the largest being $27.5K at 21:32. Even those were small amounts, and the minute returns were mixed (-0.41% to +0.36%).",
"evidence": [
"E2"
]
},
{
"text": "By 23:29 UTC ATOM was at $1.70, up 0.59% over the prior hour, a small rebound from the window low.",
"evidence": [
"E1"
]
}
],
"market_context": [
{
"text": "ATOM (-1.16%) did slightly worse than BTC (-0.39%) and about the same as ETH (-1.04%) over the window. Total crypto market cap is down 3.45% in 24h.",
"evidence": [
"E10",
"E1"
]
},
{
"text": "Derivatives are calm. Binance OI is $20.5M (+0.64% 1h, -0.42% 4h). Funding is near zero to slightly negative (Binance 0.0012%, Bybit 0.0045%, OKX -0.0086% per 8h). Binance top traders lean long at 2.02 by position.",
"evidence": [
"E3",
"E4",
"E5"
]
},
{
"text": "Sentiment: Fear & Greed is 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago. CoinGecko community sentiment is 84% positive.",
"evidence": [
"E11",
"E12"
]
}
]
},
"evidence": {
"name": "Cosmos Hub",
"items": [
{
"id": "E1",
"data": {
"ath": 43.84,
"low": 1.68,
"high": 1.72,
"rank": 81,
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:29:00.000Z",
"price": 1.7,
"path_15m": [
{
"t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.72
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
"price": 1.72
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
"price": 1.71
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
"price": 1.71
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.72
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
"price": 1.72
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
"price": 1.71
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
"price": 1.69
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.68
}
],
"market_cap": 910956997,
"volume_24h": 32007661,
"change_1h_pct": 0.591715976331361,
"change_7d_pct": -12.820512820512821,
"change_24h_pct": -3.62331,
"window_return_pct": -1.16
},
"kind": "price",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
"summary": "ATOM $1.7 now; -1.16% over the window (high $1.7, low $1.7); 1h +0.59%, 24h -3.62%, 7d -12.82%; rank #81, market cap $911M, 24h volume $32M"
},
{
"id": "E2",
"data": {
"ratio": 0.331488775267237,
"venue": "binance",
"symbol": "ATOM/USDT",
"volume_1h_usd": 14357.00652,
"busiest_minutes": [
{
"v": "27454.18694",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:32:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.119",
"close": "1.683"
},
{
"v": "18480.34788",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.357",
"close": "1.687"
},
{
"v": "12124.17109",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:29:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.414",
"close": "1.682"
},
{
"v": "10928.78196",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:24:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.294",
"close": "1.698"
},
{
"v": "9338.36492",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:25:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.059",
"close": "1.696"
}
],
"volume_window_usd": 217798.6897,
"median_hourly_24h_usd": 43310.68679
},
"kind": "spot_volume",
"source": "binance:klines:1m",
"summary": "binance ATOM/USDT: $14.4K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $43.3K (0.3×); busiest minutes: 21:32 $27.5K (+0.119%), 21:30 $18.5K (+0.357%), 21:29 $12.1K (-0.414%), 21:24 $10.9K (-0.294%), 21:25 $9.3K (-0.059%)"
},
{
"id": "E3",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:20:00.000Z",
"change_1h_pct": 0.64,
"change_4h_pct": -0.42,
"open_interest_usd": 20545854.34356
},
"kind": "open_interest",
"source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
"summary": "Binance futures open interest $20.5M: +0.64% vs 1h ago, -0.42% vs 4h ago"
},
{
"id": "E4",
"data": {
"rates": [
{
"venue": "binanceusdm",
"symbol": "ATOM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.001245
},
{
"venue": "bybit",
"symbol": "ATOM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.004485
},
{
"venue": "okx",
"symbol": "ATOM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": -0.00863829576463
}
]
},
"kind": "funding",
"source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
"summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0012%, bybit 0.0045%, okx -0.0086% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
},
{
"id": "E5",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:25:00.000Z",
"taker_buy_sell": null,
"global_long_short": null,
"top_account_long_short": null,
"top_position_long_short": 2.024
},
"kind": "positioning",
"source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
"summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short undefined, top traders by position 2.02, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
},
{
"id": "E6",
"data": {
"count": 6,
"longs_usd": 3597.395,
"total_usd": 3597.395,
"shorts_usd": 0,
"largest_usd": 2544.12
},
"kind": "liquidations",
"source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
"summary": "6 forced liquidations worth $3.6K in the window: $3.6K longs, $0 shorts; largest $2.5K"
},
{
"id": "E7",
"data": {
"chain": "bsc",
"transfers": 139,
"volume_usd": 1265.26819884125,
"large_transfers": 0,
"exchange_net_usd": -18.10023999999999,
"exchange_inflow_usd": 14.018,
"exchange_outflow_usd": 32.11823999999999,
"median_volume_15m_7d": 93.3057281923843,
"median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0
},
"kind": "exchange_flows",
"source": "nownodes:bsc:eth_getLogs",
"summary": "Onchain (BSC): 139 transfers worth $1.3K in the window; $14 moved onto exchanges, $32.1 left exchanges → net outflow of $18.1 (typical 15-min |net| $0)"
},
{
"id": "E8",
"data": {
"by_exchange": [
{
"entity": "binance",
"balance": 276090.8885075151,
"balance_usd": 469354.51046277565,
"change_24h_pct": 5.23
}
]
},
"kind": "exchange_reserves",
"source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
"summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 276K ATOM ($469.4K): binance 276K (+5.23% vs 24h ago)"
},
{
"id": "E9",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:17:00.000Z",
"chain": "bsc",
"base_fee_gwei": 0,
"gas_used_ratio": 0.14882358226410183,
"avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0,
"priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.05536449174299973
},
"kind": "network_fees",
"source": "nownodes:bsc:eth_feeHistory",
"summary": "BSC base fee 0.00 gwei (24h average 0.00), blocks 15% full"
},
{
"id": "E10",
"data": {
"trending": false,
"categories": [
"Smart Contract Platform",
"BNB Chain Ecosystem",
"Cosmos Ecosystem",
"Terra Ecosystem",
"Canto Ecosystem",
"Alleged SEC Securities",
"Osmosis Ecosystem",
"Paradigm Portfolio",
"Proof of Stake (PoS)",
"Kava Ecosystem",
"Layer 0 (L0)",
"DragonFly Capital Portfolio",
"Pantera Capital Portfolio",
"Archway Ecosystem",
"Evmos Ecosystem",
"GMCI 30 Index",
"GMCI Index",
"Outlier Ventures Portfolio",
"Polychain Capital Portfolio",
"Mantra Ecosystem",
"Coinbase 50 Index",
"Governance",
"Dungeon Chain Ecosystem"
],
"btc_change_24h_pct": -0.45798,
"btc_window_return_pct": -0.39,
"eth_window_return_pct": -1.04,
"global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.447097985473352
},
"kind": "market_context",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
"summary": "Market: BTC -0.39% and ETH -1.04% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.45% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, BNB Chain Ecosystem, Cosmos Ecosystem, Terra Ecosystem"
},
{
"id": "E11",
"data": {
"day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
"value": 55,
"week_ago": 64,
"classification": "Greed"
},
"kind": "market_mood",
"source": "alternative.me:/fng",
"summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
},
{
"id": "E12",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:43.250Z",
"forks": null,
"stars": null,
"commits_4w": null,
"prs_merged": null,
"sentiment_up_pct": 84.21,
"twitter_followers": null,
"reddit_subscribers": null
},
"kind": "dev_and_community",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
"summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 84% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
},
{
"id": "E13",
"data": {
"signals": [
{
"id": "115640",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 5.14,
"value": -2.907,
"details": {
"z_1h": 5.14,
"price": 1.67,
"ret_1h_pct": -2.907,
"ret_15m_pct": -2.339
},
"baseline": 0.575,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:39:00.000Z",
"severity": 3,
"direction": "down"
},
{
"id": "116486",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 3.95,
"value": -2.326,
"details": {
"z_1h": 3.95,
"price": 1.68,
"ret_1h_pct": -2.326,
"ret_15m_pct": -0.592
},
"baseline": 0.598,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"severity": 2,
"direction": "down"
}
]
},
"kind": "signals",
"source": "coingraph:signals",
"summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, high) at 21:39; price_move (down, medium) at 21:45"
}
],
"symbol": "ATOM",
"window_to": "2026-10-17T21:46:30.560Z",
"gathered_at": "2026-10-17T23:30:25.556Z",
"window_from": "2026-10-17T19:46:30.560Z",
"coingecko_id": "cosmos"
},
"model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}