Proof · Brief
What CoinGraph said about internet-computer, exactly as issued.
Issued 2026-10-17 23:31:51 UTC · id 1891
ICP drops ~3% in 15 min to $2.89 at 21:30–21:45 with no clear catalyst; small long liquidations
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Computed from the stored object
✓ Sources
60 source calls recorded around issue time
◷ Chainlink CRE attestation
Pending: the workflow attests new proofs every few minutes; the fingerprint above is the commitment
SHA-256 fingerprint
a197e4d344121a25567f25a47caab6bb3d1e699aa3f089fc373c68d803bbb78aThe fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.
Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1891Source calls behind it
| Provider | Endpoint | At (UTC) | Latency | OK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| nownodes | bsc:eth_getLogs | 23:31:46 | 744 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | bsc:eth_getLogs | 23:31:42 | 1591 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:31:41 | 433 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:31:16 | 7717 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:31:14 | 5538 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:31:08 | 888 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:31:08 | 5564 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:31:07 | 1074 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:31:07 | 3957 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth:eth_getLogs | 23:31:02 | 3100 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:30:41 | 452 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | futuresSentiment:5m | 23:30:31 | 33730 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | openInterestHist:5m | 23:30:21 | 9362 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:30:18 | 9960 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:17 | 140 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:30:16 | 6657 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:16 | 223 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | fetchFundingRates | 23:30:15 | 138 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 1578 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 4193 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:30:10 | 891 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:30:09 | 1124 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:29:41 | 375 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:29:17 | 8572 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:29:14 | 5954 ms | ✓ |
The exact object (10,945 bytes)
{
"id": "1891",
"token": {
"id": "internet-computer"
},
"headline": "ICP drops ~3% in 15 min to $2.89 at 21:30–21:45 with no clear catalyst; small long liquidations",
"brief": {
"caveats": [
"CoinGecko's window return (-1.68%) is smaller than the drop in its own 15m price path (about -2.7%, $2.98 to $2.90) and in the signal (-3.02% over 15m). The figures depend on sampling and rounding.",
"The 0.4× volume ratio in E2 is for the latest hour, which comes after the window, not for the selloff itself.",
"OI, funding and positioning snapshots are from about 23:25–23:30, after the window.",
"Taker buy/sell data was unavailable.",
"There is no native ICP chain data and no news evidence, so the cause of the selling is unknown."
],
"onchain": [
{
"text": "Ethereum data covers only ERC-20 ICP: 98 transfers worth $32.7K, with zero exchange inflows or outflows and no large transfers. That flow is negligible, and ICP's native chain is not covered, so the onchain data says nothing about this move.",
"evidence": [
"E7"
]
},
{
"text": "ETH network conditions were calm: base fee 0.04 gwei vs a 0.06 gwei 24h average, blocks 50% full.",
"evidence": [
"E8"
]
}
],
"summary": "ICP held flat at $2.98–2.99 for most of the window, then fell to $2.89–2.90 between 21:30 and 21:45 UTC. That is about -3% in 15 minutes, and it triggered a high-severity price-move signal. Spot selling on Binance and $23.9K of long liquidations came with the drop. The evidence does not show a catalyst: derivatives positioning was neutral, onchain data is not informative for ICP, and the broader market was only slightly weaker.",
"headline": "ICP drops ~3% in 15 min to $2.89 at 21:30–21:45 with no clear catalyst; small long liquidations",
"severity": 1,
"direction": "bearish",
"confidence": 0.5,
"watch_next": [
"Whether ICP holds the $2.89–2.90 low or retests it. Price was $2.93 at 23:30.",
"Top-trader long/short at 4.89: these longs are exposed if price breaks below $2.89.",
"OKX funding: whether it moves further negative, which would mean shorts are building.",
"Binance volume: whether it climbs back above about $129K/hour on any further move.",
"BTC/ETH direction, given the -3.45% 24h drawdown in total market cap."
],
"likely_causes": [
{
"cause": "A burst of spot selling in thin Binance liquidity, which also tripped some long stops and liquidations. The evidence does not show who sold or why.",
"evidence": [
"E2",
"E6",
"E12"
],
"confidence": 0.45
},
{
"cause": "Some drag from a weak overall market: total crypto market cap was -3.45% over 24h and ETH fell 0.99% in the window. ICP fell more than BTC (-0.4%) and ETH, so this explains only part of the move.",
"evidence": [
"E9",
"E10"
],
"confidence": 0.3
},
{
"cause": "No news, onchain or derivatives catalyst is visible in the evidence. The move is unexplained beyond the selling flow.",
"evidence": [
"E3",
"E4",
"E7"
],
"confidence": 0.5
}
],
"what_happened": [
{
"text": "Price held at $2.98–2.99 from 19:45 to 21:15, then fell to $2.94 at 21:30 and $2.90 at 21:45. CoinGecko puts the window return at -1.68% (high $2.99, low $2.90). 24h is -2.7% and 7d is -6.39%.",
"evidence": [
"E1"
]
},
{
"text": "A CoinGraph signal fired at 21:39 (price $2.89, -3.02% over 15m, z-score 4.49), and a second one at 21:45 (-2.685% over 1h, z-score 3.85).",
"evidence": [
"E12"
]
},
{
"text": "The busiest Binance spot minutes were in the selloff: 21:36 ($77.2K, -0.27%), 21:37 ($63.9K, -0.62%) and 21:31 ($48.6K, -0.38%). At 21:45 there was a +0.55% bounce on $48K. Binance ICP/USDT volume over the window was about $727K.",
"evidence": [
"E2"
]
},
{
"text": "7 forced liquidations totalling $23.9K, all longs; the largest was $13K. That is small compared with the $26.5M of Binance open interest.",
"evidence": [
"E6",
"E3"
]
},
{
"text": "By 23:30, after the window, price was $2.93 (+0.34% over 1h), a partial recovery from the $2.89–2.90 lows. In the latest hour Binance volume was 0.4× a typical hour ($55.7K vs $129.1K), so trading had gone quiet.",
"evidence": [
"E1",
"E2"
]
}
],
"market_context": [
{
"text": "Over the window BTC fell 0.4% and ETH fell 0.99%. Total crypto market cap is -3.45% over 24h. ICP is not trending.",
"evidence": [
"E9"
]
},
{
"text": "Fear & Greed is at 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago, so sentiment is cooling. CoinGecko community sentiment is 88% positive.",
"evidence": [
"E10",
"E11"
]
},
{
"text": "Derivatives look neutral. Funding is close to zero or slightly negative (Binance 0.0009%, Bybit 0.0016%, OKX -0.0153% per 8h). Binance OI is $26.5M, +0.33% over 1h and -2.05% over 4h. On Binance, top traders lean heavily long by position (4.89 long/short), while all accounts are near even at 1.12.",
"evidence": [
"E3",
"E4",
"E5"
]
}
]
},
"evidence": {
"name": "Internet Computer",
"items": [
{
"id": "E1",
"data": {
"ath": 700.65,
"low": 2.9,
"high": 2.99,
"rank": 62,
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z",
"price": 2.93,
"path_15m": [
{
"t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
"price": 2.98
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
"price": 2.99
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
"price": 2.98
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
"price": 2.98
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
"price": 2.98
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
"price": 2.98
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
"price": 2.99
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
"price": 2.94
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"price": 2.9
}
],
"market_cap": 1635249507,
"volume_24h": 36562101,
"change_1h_pct": 0.3424657534246575,
"change_7d_pct": -6.389776357827476,
"change_24h_pct": -2.69899,
"window_return_pct": -1.68
},
"kind": "price",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
"summary": "ICP $2.9 now; -1.68% over the window (high $3, low $2.9); 1h +0.34%, 24h -2.7%, 7d -6.39%; rank #62, market cap $1.6B, 24h volume $36.6M"
},
{
"id": "E2",
"data": {
"ratio": 0.43167352020970956,
"venue": "binance",
"symbol": "ICP/USDT",
"volume_1h_usd": 55735.40941,
"busiest_minutes": [
{
"v": "77167.88683",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:36:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.274",
"close": "2.911"
},
{
"v": "63874.6373",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:37:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.619",
"close": "2.892"
},
{
"v": "51568.7207",
"ts": "2026-10-17T20:05:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.201",
"close": "2.985"
},
{
"v": "48644.33802",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:31:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.375",
"close": "2.922"
},
{
"v": "47965.80683",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.551",
"close": "2.922"
}
],
"volume_window_usd": 726619.49793,
"median_hourly_24h_usd": 129114.72861
},
"kind": "spot_volume",
"source": "binance:klines:1m",
"summary": "binance ICP/USDT: $55.7K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $129.1K (0.4×); busiest minutes: 21:36 $77.2K (-0.274%), 21:37 $63.9K (-0.619%), 20:05 $51.6K (-0.201%), 21:31 $48.6K (-0.375%), 21:45 $48K (+0.551%)"
},
{
"id": "E3",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z",
"change_1h_pct": 0.33,
"change_4h_pct": -2.05,
"open_interest_usd": 26471038.63757168
},
"kind": "open_interest",
"source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
"summary": "Binance futures open interest $26.5M: +0.33% vs 1h ago, -2.05% vs 4h ago"
},
{
"id": "E4",
"data": {
"rates": [
{
"venue": "binanceusdm",
"symbol": "ICP/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.00092
},
{
"venue": "bybit",
"symbol": "ICP/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.0016439999999999998
},
{
"venue": "okx",
"symbol": "ICP/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": -0.0152555409318
}
]
},
"kind": "funding",
"source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
"summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0009%, bybit 0.0016%, okx -0.0153% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
},
{
"id": "E5",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:25:00.000Z",
"taker_buy_sell": null,
"global_long_short": 1.12,
"top_account_long_short": 1.6774,
"top_position_long_short": 4.8933
},
"kind": "positioning",
"source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
"summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 1.12, top traders by position 4.89, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
},
{
"id": "E6",
"data": {
"count": 7,
"longs_usd": 23859.23061,
"total_usd": 23859.23061,
"shorts_usd": 0,
"largest_usd": 13018.499999999998
},
"kind": "liquidations",
"source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
"summary": "7 forced liquidations worth $23.9K in the window: $23.9K longs, $0 shorts; largest $13K"
},
{
"id": "E7",
"data": {
"chain": "eth",
"transfers": 98,
"volume_usd": 32736.1291187725,
"large_transfers": 0,
"exchange_net_usd": 0,
"exchange_inflow_usd": 0,
"exchange_outflow_usd": 0,
"median_volume_15m_7d": 2661.4892165155,
"median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0
},
"kind": "exchange_flows",
"source": "nownodes:eth:eth_getLogs",
"summary": "Onchain (ETH): 98 transfers worth $32.7K in the window; $0 moved onto exchanges, $0 left exchanges → net outflow of $0 (typical 15-min |net| $0)"
},
{
"id": "E8",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:17:00.000Z",
"chain": "eth",
"base_fee_gwei": 0.041738340386666684,
"gas_used_ratio": 0.504593186259615,
"avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06222052946375,
"priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.013559726493333334
},
"kind": "network_fees",
"source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
"summary": "ETH base fee 0.04 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 50% full"
},
{
"id": "E9",
"data": {
"trending": false,
"categories": [
"Artificial Intelligence (AI)",
"Infrastructure",
"Smart Contract Platform",
"Layer 1 (L1)",
"Ethereum Ecosystem",
"Internet Computer Ecosystem",
"Base Ecosystem",
"Alleged SEC Securities",
"Multicoin Capital Portfolio",
"Layer 0 (L0)",
"Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) Portfolio",
"GMCI Layer 1 Index",
"GMCI 30 Index",
"Blockchain Capital Portfolio",
"GMCI Index",
"Polychain Capital Portfolio",
"Coinbase 50 Index",
"Governance",
"Base Native"
],
"btc_change_24h_pct": -0.40499,
"btc_window_return_pct": -0.4,
"eth_window_return_pct": -0.99,
"global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.447097985473352
},
"kind": "market_context",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
"summary": "Market: BTC -0.4% and ETH -0.99% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.45% in 24h; categories: Artificial Intelligence (AI), Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1)"
},
{
"id": "E10",
"data": {
"day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
"value": 55,
"week_ago": 64,
"classification": "Greed"
},
"kind": "market_mood",
"source": "alternative.me:/fng",
"summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
},
{
"id": "E11",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:37.552Z",
"forks": null,
"stars": null,
"commits_4w": null,
"prs_merged": null,
"sentiment_up_pct": 87.5,
"twitter_followers": null,
"reddit_subscribers": null
},
"kind": "dev_and_community",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
"summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 88% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
},
{
"id": "E12",
"data": {
"signals": [
{
"id": "115588",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 4.49,
"value": -3.02,
"details": {
"z_1h": 4.49,
"price": 2.89,
"ret_1h_pct": -3.02,
"ret_15m_pct": -3.02
},
"baseline": 0.685,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:39:00.000Z",
"severity": 3,
"direction": "down"
},
{
"id": "116494",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 3.85,
"value": -2.685,
"details": {
"z_1h": 3.85,
"price": 2.9,
"ret_1h_pct": -2.685,
"ret_15m_pct": -1.361
},
"baseline": 0.709,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"severity": 2,
"direction": "down"
}
]
},
"kind": "signals",
"source": "coingraph:signals",
"summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, high) at 21:39; price_move (down, medium) at 21:45"
}
],
"symbol": "ICP",
"window_to": "2026-10-17T21:46:30.934Z",
"gathered_at": "2026-10-17T23:31:25.399Z",
"window_from": "2026-10-17T19:46:30.934Z",
"coingecko_id": "internet-computer"
},
"model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}