Proof · Brief
What CoinGraph said about the-open-network, exactly as issued.
Issued 2026-10-17 23:36:20 UTC · id 1898
GRAM down ~2% in an hour on half-normal Binance volume; no leverage or flow cause seen
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60 source calls recorded around issue time
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SHA-256 fingerprint
a35e58b81034e07a6294768093208a5dd8a74b526c180a714a9a92b6b4b70d91The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.
Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1898Source calls behind it
| Provider | Endpoint | At (UTC) | Latency | OK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:36:17 | 8121 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:36:14 | 5416 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:36:08 | 5401 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:36:08 | 865 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:36:07 | 1362 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:36:07 | 3962 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:35:41 | 406 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | futuresSentiment:5m | 23:35:31 | 32929 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf | 23:35:29 | 313 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth:/address/{wallet}:investigation | 23:35:27 | 1772 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf | 23:35:27 | 209 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth:/address/{wallet}:investigation | 23:35:26 | 290 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf | 23:35:25 | 659 ms | ✓ |
| nownodes | eth:/address/{wallet}:investigation | 23:35:25 | 677 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | klines:1m | 23:35:23 | 8762 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | openInterestHist:5m | 23:35:21 | 10804 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binance | klines:1m | 23:35:18 | 6618 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | fetchFundingRates | 23:35:17 | 137 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | fetchFundingRates | 23:35:16 | 220 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:binanceusdm | fetchFundingRates | 23:35:15 | 138 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:okx | klines:1m | 23:35:08 | 1451 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:bybit | klines:1m | 23:35:08 | 876 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:gate | klines:1m | 23:35:08 | 809 ms | ✓ |
| ccxt:kraken | klines:1m | 23:35:07 | 4157 ms | ✓ |
| coingecko | /coins/markets | 23:34:41 | 413 ms | ✓ |
The exact object (10,921 bytes)
{
"id": "1898",
"token": {
"id": "the-open-network"
},
"headline": "GRAM down ~2% in an hour on half-normal Binance volume; no leverage or flow cause seen",
"brief": {
"caveats": [
"The data has no native TON-chain flows. ETH onchain data for GRAM is tiny and not representative.",
"E1 shows high, low and price rounded to $1.4 in the summary line; the raw data gives $1.37/$1.35.",
"The 21:39 signal reports a 15m return (-2.19%) larger than its 1h return (-1.47%), so the alert data may be inconsistent.",
"Most Binance positioning fields are null.",
"No news or event data was included, so a catalyst cannot be ruled out.",
"Evidence was gathered about 1.7h after the window ended. Open interest, funding and sentiment snapshots are as of ~23:30, not the window itself."
],
"onchain": [
{
"text": "Ethereum-wrapped GRAM activity is negligible: 110 transfers worth $1.8K, with zero exchange inflow or outflow and no large transfers. It says little about native TON-chain flows, which this evidence does not cover.",
"evidence": [
"E7"
]
},
{
"text": "Known exchange wallets on ETH hold only 133 GRAM (about $179), with 0% change over 24h at Gate, Kraken and MEXC.",
"evidence": [
"E8"
]
}
],
"summary": "GRAM slid from about $1.37 to $1.35 (-1.46%) over the window. Most of the drop came after 21:30, and a 1h return of -2.19% at 21:51 triggered a high-severity alert (z=5.25). Binance spot volume was about half of normal, open interest and funding barely moved, and liquidations were negligible. The drop looks like thin-liquidity drift during a softer overall market. The evidence shows no specific catalyst.",
"headline": "GRAM down ~2% in an hour on half-normal Binance volume; no leverage or flow cause seen",
"severity": 1,
"direction": "bearish",
"confidence": 0.45,
"watch_next": [
"Whether $1.34–$1.35 holds; minute closes reached 1.341 at 21:37",
"Whether Binance volume returns to ~$172K/hour on any further decline (real selling) or stays thin",
"Open interest and funding for a build-up of shorts or long capitulation",
"Whether BTC/ETH weakness continues, since total market cap is already -3.45% over 24h",
"Continuation of the 7d downtrend (-8.16%)"
],
"likely_causes": [
{
"cause": "Thin liquidity drift: modest selling moved price in a quiet market, with no single large seller or flush visible",
"evidence": [
"E2",
"E13"
],
"confidence": 0.45
},
{
"cause": "Spillover from a weaker broad market. ETH fell -1.03% and BTC -0.43% in the same window, and total market cap is -3.45% over 24h. GRAM's move is only somewhat larger than ETH's.",
"evidence": [
"E10",
"E1"
],
"confidence": 0.4
},
{
"cause": "Leverage-driven move (deleveraging or a liquidation cascade): unlikely. Open interest rose only 0.17% over 1h, and liquidations totalled just $598, all longs.",
"evidence": [
"E3",
"E6"
],
"confidence": 0.1
},
{
"cause": "The evidence includes no news, unlock or onchain flow that explains the drop.",
"evidence": [
"E7",
"E8",
"E12"
],
"confidence": 0.5
}
],
"what_happened": [
{
"text": "Price held at $1.37 until 20:15, dipped to $1.36, recovered to $1.37 at 21:00–21:15, then fell to $1.36 at 21:30 and $1.35 at 21:45. Window return was -1.46%, with a high of $1.37 and a low of $1.35.",
"evidence": [
"E1"
]
},
{
"text": "CoinGraph signals fired at 21:39 (1h -1.47%, z=3.68) and 21:51 (1h -2.19%, 15m -0.74%, z=5.25, price $1.34).",
"evidence": [
"E13"
]
},
{
"text": "Binance GRAM/USDT traded $83.2K in the last hour against a typical $172.3K (0.48x), and $384K across the whole window. The busiest minutes were small, $21K–$28K each. Minute closes fell from 1.369 at 20:52 to 1.341 at 21:37 (-0.445% that minute).",
"evidence": [
"E2"
]
},
{
"text": "Over longer horizons GRAM is +0.13% over 24h and -8.16% over 7d. It ranks #31 with a $3.8B market cap and $20.7M in 24h volume.",
"evidence": [
"E1"
]
}
],
"market_context": [
{
"text": "Derivatives are calm. Binance open interest is $24.8M (+0.17% over 1h, -1.65% over 4h). Funding is 0.005% per 8h on Binance, Bybit and OKX, below the ~0.01% norm, so long demand is mild. Binance top-account long/short ratio is 1.986; the other positioning metrics are unavailable.",
"evidence": [
"E3",
"E4",
"E5"
]
},
{
"text": "Sentiment is cooling. Fear & Greed is 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago. CoinGecko community sentiment is 33% positive, and GRAM is not trending.",
"evidence": [
"E11",
"E12",
"E10"
]
}
]
},
"evidence": {
"name": "Gram (prev. Toncoin)",
"items": [
{
"id": "E1",
"data": {
"ath": 8.25,
"low": 1.35,
"high": 1.37,
"rank": 31,
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:35:00.000Z",
"price": 1.35,
"path_15m": [
{
"t": "2026-10-17T19:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.37
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
"price": 1.37
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
"price": 1.37
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
"price": 1.36
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.36
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
"price": 1.37
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
"price": 1.37
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
"price": 1.36
},
{
"t": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
"price": 1.35
}
],
"market_cap": 3832597044,
"volume_24h": 20661429,
"change_1h_pct": 0,
"change_7d_pct": -8.16326530612245,
"change_24h_pct": 0.12714,
"window_return_pct": -1.46
},
"kind": "price",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
"summary": "GRAM $1.4 now; -1.46% over the window (high $1.4, low $1.4); 1h 0%, 24h +0.13%, 7d -8.16%; rank #31, market cap $3.8B, 24h volume $20.7M"
},
{
"id": "E2",
"data": {
"ratio": 0.48295152359753907,
"venue": "binance",
"symbol": "GRAM/USDT",
"volume_1h_usd": 83215.91703,
"busiest_minutes": [
{
"v": "27930.07508",
"ts": "2026-10-17T20:52:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.146",
"close": "1.369"
},
{
"v": "25256.3724",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:32:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.000",
"close": "1.348"
},
{
"v": "24044.8041",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.222",
"close": "1.354"
},
{
"v": "23357.28075",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:37:00.000Z",
"ret": "-0.445",
"close": "1.341"
},
{
"v": "20833.97318",
"ts": "2026-10-17T21:38:00.000Z",
"ret": "0.075",
"close": "1.342"
}
],
"volume_window_usd": 384340.07559,
"median_hourly_24h_usd": 172306.97692
},
"kind": "spot_volume",
"source": "binance:klines:1m",
"summary": "binance GRAM/USDT: $83.2K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $172.3K (0.5×); busiest minutes: 20:52 $27.9K (+0.146%), 21:32 $25.3K (0%), 21:30 $24K (+0.222%), 21:37 $23.4K (-0.445%), 21:38 $20.8K (+0.075%)"
},
{
"id": "E3",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z",
"change_1h_pct": 0.17,
"change_4h_pct": -1.65,
"open_interest_usd": 24763209.2172
},
"kind": "open_interest",
"source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
"summary": "Binance futures open interest $24.8M: +0.17% vs 1h ago, -1.65% vs 4h ago"
},
{
"id": "E4",
"data": {
"rates": [
{
"venue": "binanceusdm",
"symbol": "GRAM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.005
},
{
"venue": "bybit",
"symbol": "GRAM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.005
},
{
"venue": "okx",
"symbol": "GRAM/USDT:USDT",
"funding_rate_pct": 0.005
}
]
},
"kind": "funding",
"source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
"summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0050%, bybit 0.0050%, okx 0.0050% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
},
{
"id": "E5",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z",
"taker_buy_sell": null,
"global_long_short": null,
"top_account_long_short": 1.986,
"top_position_long_short": null
},
"kind": "positioning",
"source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
"summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short undefined, top traders by position undefined, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
},
{
"id": "E6",
"data": {
"count": 2,
"longs_usd": 598.22,
"total_usd": 598.22,
"shorts_usd": 0,
"largest_usd": 418.392
},
"kind": "liquidations",
"source": "okx+binance:liquidations",
"summary": "2 forced liquidations worth $598.2 in the window: $598.2 longs, $0 shorts; largest $418.4"
},
{
"id": "E7",
"data": {
"chain": "eth",
"transfers": 110,
"volume_usd": 1803.6438555439202,
"large_transfers": 0,
"exchange_net_usd": 0,
"exchange_inflow_usd": 0,
"exchange_outflow_usd": 0,
"median_volume_15m_7d": 50.7280475258,
"median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0
},
"kind": "exchange_flows",
"source": "nownodes:eth:eth_getLogs",
"summary": "Onchain (ETH): 110 transfers worth $1.8K in the window; $0 moved onto exchanges, $0 left exchanges → net outflow of $0 (typical 15-min |net| $0)"
},
{
"id": "E8",
"data": {
"by_exchange": [
{
"entity": "gate",
"balance": 73.152801759,
"balance_usd": 98.75628237465,
"change_24h_pct": 0
},
{
"entity": "kraken",
"balance": 59.063887068,
"balance_usd": 79.73624754180001,
"change_24h_pct": 0
},
{
"entity": "mexc",
"balance": 0.626958456,
"balance_usd": 0.8463939156000001,
"change_24h_pct": 0
}
]
},
"kind": "exchange_reserves",
"source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
"summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 133 GRAM ($179.3): gate 73 (0% vs 24h ago), kraken 59 (0% vs 24h ago), mexc 0.63 (0% vs 24h ago)"
},
{
"id": "E9",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T23:32:00.000Z",
"chain": "eth",
"base_fee_gwei": 0.034886260186666664,
"gas_used_ratio": 0.5046214272435858,
"avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06191525835402778,
"priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.016334483759999997
},
"kind": "network_fees",
"source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
"summary": "ETH base fee 0.03 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 50% full"
},
{
"id": "E10",
"data": {
"trending": false,
"categories": [
"Smart Contract Platform",
"BNB Chain Ecosystem",
"Layer 1 (L1)",
"Ethereum Ecosystem",
"Animoca Brands Portfolio",
"Alleged SEC Securities",
"DWF Labs Portfolio",
"TON Ecosystem",
"Proof of Stake (PoS)",
"Pantera Capital Portfolio",
"GMCI Layer 1 Index",
"GMCI 30 Index",
"GMCI Index"
],
"btc_change_24h_pct": -0.45464,
"btc_window_return_pct": -0.43,
"eth_window_return_pct": -1.03,
"global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.447097985473352
},
"kind": "market_context",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
"summary": "Market: BTC -0.43% and ETH -1.03% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.45% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, BNB Chain Ecosystem, Layer 1 (L1), Ethereum Ecosystem"
},
{
"id": "E11",
"data": {
"day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
"value": 55,
"week_ago": 64,
"classification": "Greed"
},
"kind": "market_mood",
"source": "alternative.me:/fng",
"summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
},
{
"id": "E12",
"data": {
"as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:29.402Z",
"forks": null,
"stars": null,
"commits_4w": null,
"prs_merged": null,
"sentiment_up_pct": 33.33,
"twitter_followers": null,
"reddit_subscribers": null
},
"kind": "dev_and_community",
"source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
"summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 33% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
},
{
"id": "E13",
"data": {
"signals": [
{
"id": "116824",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 5.25,
"value": -2.19,
"details": {
"z_1h": 5.25,
"price": 1.34,
"ret_1h_pct": -2.19,
"ret_15m_pct": -0.741
},
"baseline": 0.422,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:51:00.000Z",
"severity": 3,
"direction": "down"
},
{
"id": "116020",
"kind": "price_move",
"ratio": 3.68,
"value": -1.471,
"details": {
"z_1h": 3.68,
"price": 1.34,
"ret_1h_pct": -1.471,
"ret_15m_pct": -2.19
},
"baseline": 0.403,
"event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:39:00.000Z",
"severity": 2,
"direction": "down"
}
]
},
"kind": "signals",
"source": "coingraph:signals",
"summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, high) at 21:51; price_move (down, medium) at 21:39"
}
],
"symbol": "GRAM",
"window_to": "2026-10-17T21:52:20.728Z",
"gathered_at": "2026-10-17T23:35:59.809Z",
"window_from": "2026-10-17T19:52:20.728Z",
"coingecko_id": "the-open-network"
},
"model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}