Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about gatechain-token, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-17 23:36:47 UTC · id 1899

GT -1.6% to $9.96 in late slide on thin Gate volume; market softer, no onchain flows

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60 source calls recorded around issue time

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SHA-256 fingerprint

f63bc1d14a6da4a2f10f7707c8bb3b55e14dfc3942b8fee396c08fd7009ac084

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curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1899

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
coingecko/coins/markets23:36:41472 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m23:36:178121 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m23:36:145416 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m23:36:085401 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m23:36:08865 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m23:36:071362 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m23:36:073962 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets23:35:41406 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m23:35:3132929 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf23:35:29313 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation23:35:271772 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf23:35:27209 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation23:35:26290 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf23:35:25659 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation23:35:25677 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m23:35:238762 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m23:35:2110804 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m23:35:186618 ms✓
ccxt:bybitfetchFundingRates23:35:17137 ms✓
ccxt:okxfetchFundingRates23:35:16220 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfetchFundingRates23:35:15138 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m23:35:081451 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m23:35:08876 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m23:35:08809 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m23:35:074157 ms✓
The exact object (9,796 bytes)
{
  "id": "1899",
  "token": {
    "id": "gatechain-token"
  },
  "headline": "GT -1.6% to $9.96 in late slide on thin Gate volume; market softer, no onchain flows",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "Volume data covers only Gate GT/USDT. Other venues are not shown.",
      "Onchain coverage is Ethereum-only. GT activity on GateChain/GateLayer is not in the evidence.",
      "The high z-score reflects GT's unusually low baseline volatility. The absolute move (~1.6%) is small.",
      "There is no news or social evidence, so a catalyst cannot be confirmed or ruled out.",
      "CoinGecko sentiment (100% positive) has no stated sample size and is low signal."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "Ethereum GT transfers were negligible: 3 transfers worth about $3K, $0 in exchange inflow or outflow, and no large transfers.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Known exchange wallets hold 11M GT ($107.6M), nearly all on Gate. Balances were unchanged vs 24h ago at Gate, Bitfinex and OKX.",
        "evidence": [
          "E4"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "ETH network activity was quiet: base fee 0.03 gwei vs a 0.06 24h average, blocks 50% full.",
        "evidence": [
          "E5"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "GT held flat near $10.09–10.12 for most of the window, then fell to $9.96 between 21:30 and 22:00 UTC, ending the window down 1.59%. The move was about 4x GT's usual 1h move, but it happened on very small volume: $14.7K traded on Gate GT/USDT in the last hour. ETH (-1.03%) and BTC (-0.43%) were also weaker. Onchain data shows no transfers to or from exchanges, so the evidence points to a thin-liquidity drift with a weak market, not a specific catalyst.",
    "headline": "GT -1.6% to $9.96 in late slide on thin Gate volume; market softer, no onchain flows",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "bearish",
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether GT holds $9.90–9.96 or keeps sliding (it was $9.93 at 23:35)",
      "Gate GT/USDT hourly volume: a sustained move above roughly 2x the ~$10K median would mean real selling rather than drift",
      "Any change in the Gate exchange wallet's 10.76M GT balance or new exchange inflows",
      "How ETH and the wider market move, given GT tracked them lower",
      "Gate TVL (DefiLlama) if the 7d decline speeds up"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "Broad market weakness carried into a thinly traded CEX token. GT fell more than ETH and BTC, and the order book is thin enough that modest selling can move price.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6",
          "E1",
          "E2"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      },
      {
        "cause": "A cluster of small sell-side trades on Gate from 21:50 to 21:56 pushed price below $10. Volume was only modestly above normal, so this does not look like a large seller.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35
      },
      {
        "cause": "No GT-specific catalyst appears in the evidence. There is no news, no exchange flows and no wallet changes, so a specific cause cannot be identified.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E9"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "GT priced flat at $10.09 from 20:00 to 20:45, peaked at $10.12 at 21:00–21:15, then fell to $10.08 (21:30), $10.04 (21:45) and $9.96 (22:00). Window return was -1.59%. By 23:35 it was $9.93 (1h -1.19%, 24h -3.96%, 7d -8.56%).",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGraph signals fired price_move down at 21:55 (1h -1.19%, z 3.08) and at 22:00 (1h -1.58%, z 4.03, 15m -0.80%). The baseline 1h move is only ~0.4%, so a small absolute move registers as a high z-score.",
        "evidence": [
          "E10"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Gate GT/USDT traded $14.7K in the last hour, 1.4x its typical $10.2K hour, and $77.3K across the whole window. The busiest minute (21:40, $24.4K) closed +0.1%. The down minutes were smaller: 21:56 $14.4K (-0.2%), 21:53 $8.0K (-0.1%), 21:50 $3.7K (-0.1%).",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGecko shows 24h volume of $883.7K against a $1.04B market cap (rank #73), which means liquidity is very thin relative to size.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Over the same window BTC fell 0.43% and ETH fell 1.03%. Total crypto market cap is down 3.45% in 24h. GT was not trending.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Fear & Greed index is 55 (Greed), down from 64 a week ago, so sentiment is cooling.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Gate exchange TVL on DefiLlama is $7.2B, down 0.77% over 1d and 2.96% over 7d. That is a mild decline, not an outflow event.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Gate",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 25.38,
          "low": 9.96,
          "high": 10.12,
          "rank": 73,
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T23:35:00.000Z",
          "price": 9.93,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.09
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.09
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.09
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T20:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.09
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.12
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.12
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.08
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T21:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 10.04
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 9.96
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 1040008288,
          "volume_24h": 883698,
          "change_1h_pct": -1.1940298507462686,
          "change_7d_pct": -8.56353591160221,
          "change_24h_pct": -3.95589,
          "window_return_pct": -1.59
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "GT $9.9 now; -1.59% over the window (high $10.1, low $10); 1h -1.19%, 24h -3.96%, 7d -8.56%; rank #73, market cap $1B, 24h volume $883.7K"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 1.445395399944886,
          "venue": "gate",
          "symbol": "GT/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 14689.478,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "24382.6291",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:40:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.100",
              "close": "10.03"
            },
            {
              "v": "14437.9164",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:56:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.200",
              "close": "9.96"
            },
            {
              "v": "8020.0719",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:53:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.100",
              "close": "9.99"
            },
            {
              "v": "6057.1236",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T20:58:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.198",
              "close": "10.12"
            },
            {
              "v": "3728.80",
              "ts": "2026-10-17T21:50:00.000Z",
              "ret": "-0.100",
              "close": "10"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 77305.1658,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 10162.9478
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "gate:klines:1m",
        "summary": "gate GT/USDT: $14.7K traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $10.2K (1.4×); busiest minutes: 21:40 $24.4K (+0.1%), 21:56 $14.4K (-0.2%), 21:53 $8K (-0.1%), 20:58 $6.1K (+0.198%), 21:50 $3.7K (-0.1%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "chain": "eth",
          "transfers": 3,
          "volume_usd": 2979.58910868,
          "large_transfers": 0,
          "exchange_net_usd": 0,
          "exchange_inflow_usd": 0,
          "exchange_outflow_usd": 0,
          "median_volume_15m_7d": 54.531832344699,
          "median_abs_net_15m_7d": 0.099278444
        },
        "kind": "exchange_flows",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_getLogs",
        "summary": "Onchain (ETH): 3 transfers worth $3K in the window; $0 moved onto exchanges, $0 left exchanges → net outflow of $0 (typical 15-min |net| $0.1)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "by_exchange": [
            {
              "entity": "gate",
              "balance": 10761575.503554756,
              "balance_usd": 107615755.03554755,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "bitfinex",
              "balance": 1717.51121078,
              "balance_usd": 17175.1121078,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "okx",
              "balance": 9.999999974e-9,
              "balance_usd": 9.999999974e-8,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "htx",
              "balance": 0,
              "balance_usd": 0,
              "change_24h_pct": null
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "exchange_reserves",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 11M GT ($107.6M): gate 11M (0% vs 24h ago), bitfinex 1.7K (0% vs 24h ago), okx 0.00000001 (0% vs 24h ago), htx 0 (n/a vs 24h ago)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T23:32:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.034886260186666664,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5046214272435858,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06191525835402778,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.016334483759999997
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.03 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 50% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "Exchange-based Tokens",
            "Centralized Exchange (CEX) Token",
            "Ethereum Ecosystem",
            "Proof of Stake (PoS)",
            "Made in China",
            "GateLayer Ecosystem"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.45464,
          "btc_window_return_pct": -0.43,
          "eth_window_return_pct": -1.03,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.447097985473352
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC -0.43% and ETH -1.03% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.45% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, Exchange-based Tokens, Centralized Exchange (CEX) Token, Ethereum Ecosystem"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-17T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 55,
          "week_ago": 64,
          "classification": "Greed"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 55 (Greed) today, 64 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "protocols": [
            {
              "name": "Gate",
              "tvl_usd": 7183830885.251966,
              "category": "CEX",
              "protocol": "gate",
              "change_1d_pct": -0.7668518375702007,
              "change_7d_pct": -2.960458039047282
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "protocol_tvl",
        "source": "defillama:/protocols",
        "summary": "Protocol TVL (DefiLlama): Gate $7.2B (-0.77% 1d, -2.96% 7d)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-17T00:00:40.532Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 100,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 100% positive (as of 2026-10-17)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "117256",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 4.03,
              "value": -1.581,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 4.03,
                "price": 9.96,
                "ret_1h_pct": -1.581,
                "ret_15m_pct": -0.797
              },
              "baseline": 0.396,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "down"
            },
            {
              "id": "117002",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 3.08,
              "value": -1.189,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 3.08,
                "price": 9.97,
                "ret_1h_pct": -1.189,
                "ret_15m_pct": -1.091
              },
              "baseline": 0.389,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-17T21:55:00.000Z",
              "severity": 2,
              "direction": "down"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (down, high) at 22:00; price_move (down, medium) at 21:55"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "GT",
    "window_to": "2026-10-17T22:01:17.533Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-17T23:36:25.342Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-17T20:01:17.533Z",
    "coingecko_id": "gatechain-token"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}