What CoinGraph said about figure-heloc, exactly as issued.

{
  "id": "1908",
  "token": {
    "id": "figure-heloc"
  },
  "headline": "FIGR_HELOC +4.3% in one step to $1.067; flat print suggests repricing, not trading",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "The whole move comes from one 15-minute print after a stretch where the price did not change at all. That pattern fits a stale or batch-updated price feed.",
      "The evidence has no exchange trade, order-book, or onchain data for this token, so I cannot confirm any buying.",
      "The $25.6B market cap and $2.3M volume suggest the token trades very little, so CoinGecko's price may not be a price anyone can actually trade at."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "The only onchain item is Ethereum network conditions: base fee 0.04 gwei against a 24h average of 0.06, and blocks 50% full. That does not point to unusual congestion. No token-specific onchain flows were in the evidence.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "CoinGecko showed Figure Heloc stuck at $1.023 for two hours. Then it jumped once to $1.067 (+4.3%) at the 00:30 reading, close to its $1.075 all-time high, and that tripped two high-severity price-move signals. The token has a $25.6B market cap but only $2.3M in 24h volume, and its 7-day change is +0.19%. The jump looks more like a reported-price or NAV update than buying, but none of the evidence confirms what caused it.",
    "headline": "FIGR_HELOC +4.3% in one step to $1.067; flat print suggests repricing, not trading",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 0.35,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether the next prints hold near $1.067 or fall back toward $1.02. Snapping back would suggest a data artifact.",
      "Whether 24h volume rises above about $2.3M, which would mean there is real trading behind the price.",
      "Any Figure or Provenance announcement on NAV or valuation updates.",
      "Whether the price breaks above the $1.075 all-time high."
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "The jump is probably a discrete price or valuation update from CoinGecko's data source for this tokenized private-credit asset, not organic buying. The evidence shows a single step after a long flat stretch, and trading volume is tiny next to the market cap. This is an inference; nothing in the evidence confirms the source.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E3"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.4
      },
      {
        "cause": "The evidence does not show what drove the move. There is no exchange order-book or trade data, no onchain transfer data for the token, and no news.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E5"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "On CoinGecko's 15-minute price path, the price stayed at $1.023 from 22:30 to 00:15 UTC, then printed $1.067 at 00:30. That is +4.3% for the window and +4.3% for 1h, with 24h at +2.99%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Two high-severity price_move signals fired, at 00:20 and 00:30. The 1h move was 20.3x and then 10.1x its baseline.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The new price of $1.067 is just under the $1.075 all-time high. The 7-day change is only +0.19%, so the price normally sits in a narrow band around $1.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "The wider market did not move with it. BTC was +0.2% and ETH +0.44% over the window, while total crypto market cap is -3.08% over 24h. The move is specific to this coin.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Sentiment is middling: Fear & Greed is 53 (Neutral), down from 61 a week ago. CoinGecko community sentiment for the coin is 20% positive, and the coin is not trending.",
        "evidence": [
          "E4",
          "E5",
          "E3"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGecko categorizes it as Tokenized Assets, RWA and Tokenized Private Credit, part of the Provenance Ecosystem. Its 24h volume is $2.3M against a $25.6B market cap.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Figure Heloc",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 1.075,
          "low": 1.023,
          "high": 1.067,
          "rank": 9,
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T00:31:00.000Z",
          "price": 1.067,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T22:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T22:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T23:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-17T23:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T00:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.023
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T00:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.067
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 25629142869,
          "volume_24h": 2286294,
          "change_1h_pct": 4.301075268817204,
          "change_7d_pct": 0.18779342723004694,
          "change_24h_pct": 2.98628,
          "window_return_pct": 4.3
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "FIGR_HELOC $1.1 now; +4.3% over the window (high $1.1, low $1); 1h +4.3%, 24h +2.99%, 7d +0.19%; rank #9, market cap $25.6B, 24h volume $2.3M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T00:17:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.03758485684,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5017032753257034,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.06116425645625,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.02084317537333332
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.04 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 50% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Tokenized Assets",
            "Real World Assets (RWA)",
            "Made in USA",
            "Provenance Ecosystem",
            "Tokenized Private Credit"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": -0.19474,
          "btc_window_return_pct": 0.2,
          "eth_window_return_pct": 0.44,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -3.0814758336545975
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC +0.2% and ETH +0.44% over the same window; total crypto market cap -3.08% in 24h; categories: Tokenized Assets, Real World Assets (RWA), Made in USA, Provenance Ecosystem"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 53,
          "week_ago": 61,
          "classification": "Neutral"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 53 (Neutral) today, 61 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T00:00:27.982Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 20,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 20% positive (as of 2026-10-18)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "118112",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 20.32,
              "value": 4.301,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 20.32,
                "price": 1.067,
                "ret_1h_pct": 4.301,
                "ret_15m_pct": 4.301
              },
              "baseline": 0.207,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T00:20:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            },
            {
              "id": "118147",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 10.08,
              "value": 4.301,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 10.08,
                "price": 1.067,
                "ret_1h_pct": 4.301,
                "ret_15m_pct": 4.301
              },
              "baseline": 0.419,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T00:30:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (up, high) at 00:20; price_move (up, high) at 00:30"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "FIGR_HELOC",
    "window_to": "2026-10-18T00:31:05.930Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-18T00:31:51.819Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-17T22:31:05.930Z",
    "coingecko_id": "figure-heloc"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}