Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about pearl-2, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-18 05:35:17 UTC · id 1918

PRL +5% in final 15m to $1.88 against a flat BTC/ETH market; no catalyst found

Read the full brief →

✓ Fingerprint

Computed from the stored object

✓ Sources

60 source calls recorded around issue time

◷ Chainlink CRE attestation

Pending: the workflow attests new proofs every few minutes; the fingerprint above is the commitment

SHA-256 fingerprint

fac94f0fe2bbc5dc15cb2a468c6ccde93c86e779b014e7182c058ba96b548c74

The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.

Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1918

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
ccxt:okxfetchFundingRates05:35:16252 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfetchFundingRates05:35:15233 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m05:35:1210011 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m05:35:125903 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m05:35:061816 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m05:35:06882 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m05:35:064220 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m05:34:46898 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets05:34:41385 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf05:34:30806 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation05:34:29652 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m05:34:108301 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m05:34:105732 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m05:34:071649 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m05:34:06914 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m05:34:064240 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets05:33:41430 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m05:33:18867 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m05:33:118388 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m05:33:071810 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m05:33:075865 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m05:33:07840 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m05:33:074222 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets05:32:41394 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m05:32:33881 ms✓
The exact object (6,748 bytes)
{
  "id": "1918",
  "token": {
    "id": "pearl-2"
  },
  "headline": "PRL +5% in final 15m to $1.88 against a flat BTC/ETH market; no catalyst found",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "The evidence identifies no news, listing, unlock or flow behind the spike.",
      "CoinGecko's 15m series skips 04:45, and the final 05:30 print may be revised.",
      "Price figures are rounded to 2 decimals.",
      "The volume/market cap ratio is low, so the move may not last."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "No PRL-specific onchain data (transfers, exchange flows, whale wallets) is in the evidence. The only chain data is Ethereum: base fee 0.04 gwei against a 0.06 gwei 24h average and blocks 51% full. That shows a quiet network and is not related to PRL.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "Pearl (PRL) drifted down from $1.82 to $1.79 for most of the window. Then it jumped about 5% in the last 15 minutes and closed at $1.88, the window high, for +3.3% on the window and +10.6% on 24h. BTC and ETH were flat to slightly down over the same period, so the move was specific to PRL. The evidence shows PRL in CoinGecko's trending searches but includes no news, exchange flow or onchain data that would explain the spike.",
    "headline": "PRL +5% in final 15m to $1.88 against a flat BTC/ETH market; no catalyst found",
    "severity": 2,
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 0.45,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether PRL holds above $1.81, the 05:15 level where the spike started, or gives back the last-15m gain",
      "A retest of the $2.10 all-time high",
      "Whether 24h volume rises from $6.2M, which would confirm the move",
      "Exchange inflows or outflows and derivatives funding/open interest for PRL, none of which is in this evidence",
      "Whether PRL stays in CoinGecko's trending searches"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "PRL-specific buying, not market beta. BTC (-0.09%) and ETH (-0.34%) were flat to down over the window while PRL rose 3.3%. The actual trigger is not identified in the evidence.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E3",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.6
      },
      {
        "cause": "Retail attention may be adding momentum: PRL is in CoinGecko's trending searches after a +10.6% 24h move. This shows attention, not what caused it.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E1"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35
      },
      {
        "cause": "Thin liquidity probably made the move bigger: 24h volume of $6.2M is small next to a $656.5M market cap, so modest orders can move price sharply. This is an inference; there is no order-book data.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.35
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "PRL slipped from $1.82 at 03:30 to a low of $1.79 at 05:00. It rose to $1.81 at 05:15 and then to $1.88 at 05:30. The window return was +3.3%, with a high of $1.88 and a low of $1.79.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGraph fired two high-severity up price_move signals. At 05:28 the 1h z-score was 2.33 with a 1h return of 3.30%. At 05:31 the z-score was 3.03 with a 1h return of 4.44%. The 15-minute return was 5.03% at both.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Change was +3.87% over 1h and +10.6% over 24h. Price is $1.88 against an all-time high of $2.10, about 10.5% below it. Market cap is $656.5M (rank #98) and 24h volume is $6.2M, under 1% of market cap.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "The wider market was weak to flat. Total crypto market cap is down 2.79% in 24h, BTC is +0.19% on 24h, and Fear & Greed is 53 (Neutral), down from 61 a week ago.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "PRL is tagged AI, Smart Contract Platform, L1 and PoW. CoinGecko sentiment was 66% positive as of 2026-10-16, and developer activity is not tracked.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E5"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Pearl",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 2.1,
          "low": 1.79,
          "high": 1.88,
          "rank": 98,
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T05:34:00.000Z",
          "price": 1.88,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T03:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.82
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T03:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.82
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.82
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T04:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.81
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T04:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.8
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.79
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T05:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.81
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T05:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 1.88
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 656541760,
          "volume_24h": 6207551,
          "change_1h_pct": 3.867403314917127,
          "change_7d_pct": null,
          "change_24h_pct": 10.59689,
          "window_return_pct": 3.3
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "PRL $1.9 now; +3.3% over the window (high $1.9, low $1.8); 1h +3.87%, 24h +10.6%, 7d n/a; rank #98, market cap $656.5M, 24h volume $6.2M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T05:32:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.041918801639999996,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5121926426666666,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.056075743013888894,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.045401984519999966
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.04 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 51% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "trending": true,
          "categories": [
            "Artificial Intelligence (AI)",
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "Layer 1 (L1)",
            "Proof of Work (PoW)"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": 0.18657,
          "btc_window_return_pct": -0.09,
          "eth_window_return_pct": -0.34,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.7887610945810364
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC -0.09% and ETH -0.34% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.79% in 24h; PRL is in CoinGecko's trending searches; categories: Artificial Intelligence (AI), Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Proof of Work (PoW)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 53,
          "week_ago": 61,
          "classification": "Neutral"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 53 (Neutral) today, 61 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-16T00:00:47.015Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 65.91,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 66% positive (as of 2026-10-16)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "119265",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 2.33,
              "value": 3.297,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 2.33,
                "price": 1.88,
                "ret_1h_pct": 3.297,
                "ret_15m_pct": 5.028
              },
              "baseline": 1.403,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T05:28:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            },
            {
              "id": "119275",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 3.03,
              "value": 4.444,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 3.03,
                "price": 1.88,
                "ret_1h_pct": 4.444,
                "ret_15m_pct": 5.028
              },
              "baseline": 1.445,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T05:31:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (up, high) at 05:28; price_move (up, high) at 05:31"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "PRL",
    "window_to": "2026-10-18T05:33:43.638Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-18T05:35:02.278Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-18T03:33:43.638Z",
    "coingecko_id": "pearl-2"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}