Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about dash, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-12 04:47:04 UTC · id 815

DASH +2.1% in 2h, nearly all after 04:15; outran BTC/ETH, no clear driver

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✓ Fingerprint

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✓ Sources

60 source calls recorded around issue time

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SHA-256 fingerprint

7a7192a17b4937afa64595bce99da31b094abc106703d6ad18caa260275071bf

The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.

Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/815

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
nownodesbsc:eth_getLogs04:46:461444 ms✓
nownodesbsc:eth_getLogs04:46:422213 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets04:46:41410 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m04:46:058078 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m04:46:056271 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m04:46:055542 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m04:46:05881 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m04:46:05922 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m04:46:054019 ms✓
nownodeseth:eth_getLogs04:46:021675 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets04:45:41477 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m04:45:3135373 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf04:45:29674 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation04:45:28263 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf04:45:27593 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation04:45:251932 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf04:45:24681 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation04:45:23668 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m04:45:2110201 ms✓
ccxt:bybitfetchFundingRates04:45:17168 ms✓
ccxt:okxfetchFundingRates04:45:16225 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfetchFundingRates04:45:15207 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m04:45:068739 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m04:45:061677 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m04:45:064243 ms✓
The exact object (6,511 bytes)
{
  "id": "815",
  "token": {
    "id": "dash"
  },
  "headline": "DASH +2.1% in 2h, nearly all after 04:15; outran BTC/ETH, no clear driver",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "There is no exchange, derivatives, flow or DASH onchain data, so the cause of the move is unknown.",
      "Most of the gain came in the final 15-minute bar, so the latest price may not have settled yet.",
      "The 7d change is not available, so there is no longer-term trend context.",
      "The ETH gas data says nothing about DASH."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "There is no DASH-chain onchain data in the evidence. The only onchain item is Ethereum gas (base fee 0.06 gwei vs 0.10 24h average, blocks 50% full), which shows quiet network conditions and has nothing to do with DASH.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "DASH rose 2.05% to $53.7 over the window. It traded flat near $52.5–52.6 until about 04:00, then climbed, with most of the gain in the last 15 minutes (to $53.67). Two high-severity price-move signals fired, with 1h z-scores around 4. BTC (+0.23%) and ETH (+0.48%) barely moved, so this looks specific to DASH. None of the evidence explains why it happened: there is no exchange, flow or onchain data for DASH itself.",
    "headline": "DASH +2.1% in 2h, nearly all after 04:15; outran BTC/ETH, no clear driver",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 0.45,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether DASH stays above about $53.4 (the price at the 04:38 signal) or falls back toward the $52.5–52.6 range",
      "Exchange volume and order-book depth for DASH to see whether the late surge was backed by real volume",
      "Whether the move spreads to other privacy or payment coins, or stays specific to DASH",
      "Further price_move signals in the next hour"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "A DASH-specific bid of unknown origin. The move far outpaced BTC and ETH, and the evidence names no catalyst (no news, flows, derivatives or order-book data).",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E3",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      },
      {
        "cause": "Possibly the 24h uptrend continuing (+5.83% on the day) while the overall market is in Greed. This is inferred and not confirmed; the total crypto market cap fell 2.62% over 24h.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1",
          "E3",
          "E4"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.25
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "DASH went from $52.63 at 02:45 to $53.67 at 04:45 (+2.05%). The window low was $52.5 at 03:00. The 1h change is +2.19% and the 24h change is +5.83%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The price was flat ($52.50–52.60) from 03:00 to 04:00. It then rose to $52.77 at 04:15, $52.94 at 04:30 and $53.67 at 04:45, so the move sped up into the end of the window.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Price-move signals fired at 04:38 (1h return 1.48%, z 4.44, 15m return 1.08%) and at 04:45 (1h return 2.13%, z 4.03, 15m return 1.38%).",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Market cap is $690.7M (rank #99) and 24h volume is $53.2M, about 7.7% of market cap.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "The wider market was calm over the window: BTC +0.23%, ETH +0.48%. BTC is +1.29% over 24h, while total crypto market cap is -2.62% over 24h.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Fear & Greed is 69 (Greed), almost the same as 70 a week ago. CoinGecko sentiment for DASH was 67% positive as of Oct 10. DASH is not trending.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Dash",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 1493.59,
          "low": 52.5,
          "high": 53.67,
          "rank": 99,
          "as_of": "2026-10-12T04:46:00.000Z",
          "price": 53.71,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T02:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.63
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T03:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.5
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T03:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.58
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T03:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.58
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T03:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.55
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T04:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.6
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T04:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.77
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T04:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 52.94
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-12T04:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 53.67
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 690719278,
          "volume_24h": 53165827,
          "change_1h_pct": 2.18797564687976,
          "change_7d_pct": null,
          "change_24h_pct": 5.82924,
          "window_return_pct": 2.05
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "DASH $53.7 now; +2.05% over the window (high $53.7, low $52.5); 1h +2.19%, 24h +5.83%, 7d n/a; rank #99, market cap $690.7M, 24h volume $53.2M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-12T04:32:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.06281123409333332,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.5045459129415465,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.09503713633638888,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.04140475750666666
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.06 gwei (24h average 0.10), blocks 50% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Smart Contract Platform",
            "Masternodes",
            "Payment Solutions",
            "Alleged SEC Securities",
            "Proof of Stake (PoS)",
            "Proof of Work (PoW)",
            "Made in USA",
            "Privacy"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": 1.28697,
          "btc_window_return_pct": 0.23,
          "eth_window_return_pct": 0.48,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.619935283313555
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC +0.23% and ETH +0.48% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.62% in 24h; categories: Smart Contract Platform, Masternodes, Payment Solutions, Alleged SEC Securities"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-12T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 69,
          "week_ago": 70,
          "classification": "Greed"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 69 (Greed) today, 70 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-10T00:00:47.782Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 66.67,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 67% positive (as of 2026-10-10)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "54366",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 4.44,
              "value": 1.483,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 4.44,
                "price": 53.39,
                "ret_1h_pct": 1.483,
                "ret_15m_pct": 1.079
              },
              "baseline": 0.332,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-12T04:38:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            },
            {
              "id": "54497",
              "kind": "price_move",
              "ratio": 4.03,
              "value": 2.131,
              "details": {
                "z_1h": 4.03,
                "price": 53.67,
                "ret_1h_pct": 2.131,
                "ret_15m_pct": 1.379
              },
              "baseline": 0.524,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-12T04:45:00.000Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "up"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: price_move (up, high) at 04:38; price_move (up, high) at 04:45"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "DASH",
    "window_to": "2026-10-12T04:45:57.926Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-12T04:46:49.949Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-12T02:45:57.926Z",
    "coingecko_id": "dash"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}