Proof · Brief

What CoinGraph said about aave, exactly as issued.

Issued 2026-10-18 02:31:58 UTC · id 1912

AAVE +1% to $152.2 on 3.5× Binance volume; $741K net exchange outflow, bid-heavy book

Read the full brief →

✓ Fingerprint

Computed from the stored object

✓ Sources

60 source calls recorded around issue time

◷ Chainlink CRE attestation

Pending: the workflow attests new proofs every few minutes; the fingerprint above is the commitment

SHA-256 fingerprint

ae2a79d64f39a80c5a1c39e0cf14ed80c523568db09b6caa9b17de6ba8a9444a

The fingerprint is the SHA-256 of the object below written as canonical JSON (keys sorted, no spaces). Change one character and it changes completely, so nobody, including CoinGraph, can quietly edit what was said.

Check it yourself
curl -s https://coingraph.ai/api/v1/verify/1912

Source calls behind it

ProviderEndpointAt (UTC)LatencyOK
nownodesbsc:eth_getLogs02:31:452357 ms✓
nownodesbsc:eth_getLogs02:31:412530 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets02:31:40408 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf02:31:30374 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation02:31:281601 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf02:31:27374 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation02:31:26718 ms✓
nownodeseth-archive:eth_call:balanceOf02:31:25818 ms✓
nownodeseth:/address/{wallet}:investigation02:31:232345 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m02:31:197791 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m02:31:165908 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m02:31:085675 ms✓
ccxt:bybitklines:1m02:31:08889 ms✓
ccxt:gateklines:1m02:31:08842 ms✓
ccxt:krakenklines:1m02:31:074047 ms✓
nownodeseth:eth_getLogs02:31:012392 ms✓
coingecko/coins/markets02:30:40526 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfuturesSentiment:5m02:30:3033144 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmklines:1m02:30:238169 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmopenInterestHist:5m02:30:2010357 ms✓
ccxt:binanceklines:1m02:30:196968 ms✓
ccxt:bybitfetchFundingRates02:30:18134 ms✓
ccxt:okxfetchFundingRates02:30:17227 ms✓
ccxt:binanceusdmfetchFundingRates02:30:16138 ms✓
ccxt:okxklines:1m02:30:091548 ms✓
The exact object (20,424 bytes)
{
  "id": "1912",
  "token": {
    "id": "aave"
  },
  "headline": "AAVE +1% to $152.2 on 3.5× Binance volume; $741K net exchange outflow, bid-heavy book",
  "brief": {
    "caveats": [
      "A 1% move is small. Over 7 days the trend is still down (-9.94%).",
      "Taker buy/sell data was missing, so the direction of aggressive flow can't be confirmed.",
      "The withdrawal recipient 0xbee3211a looks like a pass-through address (exchange, router or bot), so the $741K net outflow may not be real accumulation.",
      "The $1.3M transfer is between unlabelled addresses and can't be read as buying or selling.",
      "The evidence contains no news or social catalyst."
    ],
    "onchain": [
      {
        "text": "On Ethereum, 595 AAVE transfers moved $5.3M in the window. Exchange inflow was $0 and outflow was $741.1K, for a net outflow of $741.1K. The typical net for a 15-minute period is $1.6K.",
        "evidence": [
          "E7"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Three Binance withdrawals ($129.1K, $139.4K, $158.6K) went to 0xbee3211a. That address has 2.6M transactions and its AAVE balance rose only from 1.2K to 1.3K, so it probably passed the coins on (it looks like an exchange, router or bot). It is unlikely to be a long-term holder.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8",
          "E13"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The largest transfer was $1.3M (8,546 AAVE) at 00:57. It went from 0x9b0c45d4, a very active address with 100,902 transactions whose AAVE fell 85% to 1.5K, to 0x15da7556, an established wallet that grew from 51K to 59K AAVE. Neither address is labelled.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8",
          "E11",
          "E12"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Known exchange wallets hold 1.5M AAVE ($233.5M). Binance's balance is down 0.29% in 24h and Coinbase's is down 13.69%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E9"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "A chain of transfers of about 819–848 AAVE moved through linked unlabelled addresses (0x7d94…, 0xf819…, 0x84b3…, 0xbc8a…). This looks like routing between related wallets, not net buying or selling.",
        "evidence": [
          "E8"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": "AAVE rose 1% to $152.24 over the two-hour window, slightly beating BTC (+0.35%) and ETH (+0.46%). Binance spot volume ran 3.5× a normal hour, and 15-minute volume hit 9–11× normal near the window's close. Three Binance withdrawals totalling about $427K came within minutes of high-volume up-minutes, and the order book was heavy on the bid side. This points to modest spot buying, not a big event. The move is small, AAVE is still down 9.9% over 7 days, and no clear catalyst shows up in the evidence.",
    "headline": "AAVE +1% to $152.2 on 3.5× Binance volume; $741K net exchange outflow, bid-heavy book",
    "severity": 1,
    "direction": "bullish",
    "confidence": 0.45,
    "watch_next": [
      "Whether price holds above the $151.0–152.0 area, where the 02:00–02:15 dip found buyers",
      "Whether the 3.2× bid-heavy Binance book stays in place or the bids get pulled",
      "Whether Binance net outflows continue, and where 0xbee3211a sends the coins on to",
      "Whether open interest keeps rising and top-trader longs (2.0 ratio) build further, which would make the move more fragile",
      "Whether 0x15da7556, which added about 8.5K AAVE, sends any of it to exchanges"
    ],
    "likely_causes": [
      {
        "cause": "Modest spot buying on Binance, with some coins then withdrawn from the exchange. Withdrawals of $129K, $139K and $159K at 02:19–02:23 line up with the high-volume up-minutes at 02:19 and 02:23.",
        "evidence": [
          "E2",
          "E8",
          "E7",
          "E6"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.5
      },
      {
        "cause": "Some new leveraged longs. Open interest rose 0.83% in 1h, but funding stayed normal, so leverage is not driving the move.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.3
      },
      {
        "cause": "No news, protocol event or broad-market catalyst appears in the evidence. AAVE beat BTC and ETH by only about 0.5–0.65 points, so part of the move may just be noise inside a weak week.",
        "evidence": [
          "E15",
          "E17",
          "E18"
        ],
        "confidence": 0.4
      }
    ],
    "what_happened": [
      {
        "text": "Price moved from $150.74 to $152.24 (+1%) and closed the window at its high. Most of the gain came in two steps: around 01:45 ($151.98) and around 02:30 ($152.24). 1h change is +0.85%, 24h is -1.4% and 7d is -9.94%.",
        "evidence": [
          "E1"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Binance AAVE/USDT traded $1.03M in the last hour against a typical $291K hour (3.5×). The busiest minutes were 01:03 ($192K, flat), 02:19 ($163K, +0.198%), 02:23 ($127K) and 02:29 ($104K, +0.138%).",
        "evidence": [
          "E2"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "CoinGraph fired two high-severity volume-spike signals: 15-minute volume of $578K (9.2× baseline) at 02:28 and $687K (10.8× baseline) at 02:30.",
        "evidence": [
          "E19"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "The Binance order book had $271K of bids against $85K of asks within 2% of price, a 3.21 bid/ask ratio.",
        "evidence": [
          "E6"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "market_context": [
      {
        "text": "Over the window BTC rose 0.35% and ETH 0.46%. Total crypto market cap is down 2.7% in 24h, and Fear & Greed is at 53 (Neutral), down from 61 a week ago.",
        "evidence": [
          "E15",
          "E16"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Binance futures open interest is $58.8M (+0.83% in 1h, +1.15% in 4h). Funding per 8h is mildly positive at 0.003–0.01%. The all-accounts long/short ratio is 1.26 and top traders' positions are 2.00 long/short.",
        "evidence": [
          "E3",
          "E4",
          "E5"
        ]
      },
      {
        "text": "Aave V3 TVL is $16.8B, down 0.7% in 1d and 3.64% in 7d. V2 and V4 TVL are falling at a similar pace, so fundamentals are flat to soft.",
        "evidence": [
          "E17"
        ]
      }
    ]
  },
  "evidence": {
    "name": "Aave",
    "items": [
      {
        "id": "E1",
        "data": {
          "ath": 661.69,
          "low": 150.73,
          "high": 152.24,
          "rank": 46,
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T02:30:00.000Z",
          "price": 152.24,
          "path_15m": [
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T00:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.74
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T00:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.73
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T01:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.97
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T01:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.96
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T01:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.95
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T01:45:00.000Z",
              "price": 151.98
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T02:00:00.000Z",
              "price": 151.36
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T02:15:00.000Z",
              "price": 150.98
            },
            {
              "t": "2026-10-18T02:30:00.000Z",
              "price": 152.24
            }
          ],
          "market_cap": 2350027347,
          "volume_24h": 185286757,
          "change_1h_pct": 0.85458761179198,
          "change_7d_pct": -9.938476100331282,
          "change_24h_pct": -1.3998,
          "window_return_pct": 1
        },
        "kind": "price",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets",
        "summary": "AAVE $152.2 now; +1% over the window (high $152.2, low $150.7); 1h +0.85%, 24h -1.4%, 7d -9.94%; rank #46, market cap $2.4B, 24h volume $185.3M"
      },
      {
        "id": "E2",
        "data": {
          "ratio": 3.5265245673035026,
          "venue": "binance",
          "symbol": "AAVE/USDT",
          "volume_1h_usd": 1027694.7859,
          "busiest_minutes": [
            {
              "v": "192103.56964",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T01:03:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.000",
              "close": "151.4"
            },
            {
              "v": "163498.11386",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:19:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.198",
              "close": "151.56"
            },
            {
              "v": "142542.91702",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T01:04:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.079",
              "close": "151.52"
            },
            {
              "v": "127062.35222",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:23:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.039",
              "close": "152.15"
            },
            {
              "v": "103525.79725",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:29:00.000Z",
              "ret": "0.138",
              "close": "152.61"
            }
          ],
          "volume_window_usd": 1744989.04751,
          "median_hourly_24h_usd": 291418.58118
        },
        "kind": "spot_volume",
        "source": "binance:klines:1m",
        "summary": "binance AAVE/USDT: $1M traded in the last hour vs a typical hour of $291.4K (3.5×); busiest minutes: 01:03 $192.1K (0%), 02:19 $163.5K (+0.198%), 01:04 $142.5K (+0.079%), 02:23 $127.1K (+0.039%), 02:29 $103.5K (+0.138%)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E3",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T02:25:00.000Z",
          "change_1h_pct": 0.83,
          "change_4h_pct": 1.15,
          "open_interest_usd": 58801254.32933394
        },
        "kind": "open_interest",
        "source": "binanceusdm:openInterestHist:5m",
        "summary": "Binance futures open interest $58.8M: +0.83% vs 1h ago, +1.15% vs 4h ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E4",
        "data": {
          "rates": [
            {
              "venue": "binanceusdm",
              "symbol": "AAVE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.0071
            },
            {
              "venue": "bybit",
              "symbol": "AAVE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.003154
            },
            {
              "venue": "okx",
              "symbol": "AAVE/USDT:USDT",
              "funding_rate_pct": 0.01
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "funding",
        "source": "ccxt:fetchFundingRates",
        "summary": "Funding per 8h: binanceusdm 0.0071%, bybit 0.0032%, okx 0.0100% (positive = longs pay; ~0.01% is normal)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E5",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T02:25:00.000Z",
          "taker_buy_sell": null,
          "global_long_short": 1.263,
          "top_account_long_short": 1.6116,
          "top_position_long_short": 2.005
        },
        "kind": "positioning",
        "source": "binanceusdm:futuresSentiment:5m",
        "summary": "Binance positioning: all accounts long/short 1.26, top traders by position 2.00, taker buy/sell undefined (>1 = net buying)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E6",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T02:30:00.000Z",
          "venue": "binance",
          "best_ask": 152.43,
          "best_bid": 152.42,
          "depth_ask_2pct_usd": 84662.03434999999,
          "depth_bid_2pct_usd": 271448.5491999998
        },
        "kind": "order_book",
        "source": "binance:fetchOrderBook",
        "summary": "binance order book: $271.4K of bids vs $84.7K of asks within 2% (3.21 bid/ask depth ratio)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E7",
        "data": {
          "chain": "eth",
          "transfers": 595,
          "volume_usd": 5330428.864604778,
          "large_transfers": 42,
          "exchange_net_usd": -741116.746021472,
          "exchange_inflow_usd": 0,
          "exchange_outflow_usd": 741116.746021472,
          "median_volume_15m_7d": 19585.3288580071,
          "median_abs_net_15m_7d": 1627.289797
        },
        "kind": "exchange_flows",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_getLogs",
        "summary": "Onchain (ETH): 595 transfers worth $5.3M in the window; $0 moved onto exchanges, $741.1K left exchanges → net outflow of $741.1K (typical 15-min |net| $1.6K)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E8",
        "data": {
          "transfers": [
            {
              "to": "0x15da7556d5ed888306839bed06f868aeaedcb0d7",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T00:57:08.369Z",
              "from": "0x9b0c45d46d386cedd98873168c36efd0dcba8d46",
              "block": 26216006,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 8545.878,
              "tx_hash": "0xc31efe1d8e9ad89f22571bd5a16016aec0f93520540f08535e765b086933ae91",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 1290171.20166,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0xbee3211ab312a8d065c4fef0247448e17a8da000",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:23:53.739Z",
              "from": "0xdfd5293d8e347dfe59e90efd55b2956a1343963d",
              "block": 26216438,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 1041.7207,
              "tx_hash": "0x9d5cff61bb0a16a7b7136cf2c414028c78de89d2b70d63ff0a840ac4e7354592",
              "direction": "from_exchange",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 158591.55936800002,
              "from_entity": "binance"
            },
            {
              "to": "0xbee3211ab312a8d065c4fef0247448e17a8da000",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:22:04.260Z",
              "from": "0x21a31ee1afc51d94c2efccaa2092ad1028285549",
              "block": 26216429,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 915.4507,
              "tx_hash": "0x673e4b133773d458e41964d979a6533ff7d8caefb138439521640c00ad58af6b",
              "direction": "from_exchange",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 139368.214568,
              "from_entity": "binance"
            },
            {
              "to": "0xbee3211ab312a8d065c4fef0247448e17a8da000",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:19:26.123Z",
              "from": "0xdfd5293d8e347dfe59e90efd55b2956a1343963d",
              "block": 26216416,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 847.7267,
              "tx_hash": "0xc2b328989fb552d315b4643f16245e90340a9f05847845ab50764c7ba7d6b5ca",
              "direction": "from_exchange",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 129057.91280800001,
              "from_entity": "binance"
            },
            {
              "to": "0xbc8a0f5e41857292d12ef620e2a5895ce65a5ce0",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:11:59.000Z",
              "from": "0x7d94077f58593f8b97c5cab56c8924e13b49946e",
              "block": 26216379,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 847.99539,
              "tx_hash": "0x50dcfc3f37f59b1a800f246cc6de1f38f22c302eb0eb1960f79bdd12735dae37",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 128030.3439822,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x4a4aaa0155237881fbd5c34bfae16e985a7b068d",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:12:11.000Z",
              "from": "0xbc8a0f5e41857292d12ef620e2a5895ce65a5ce0",
              "block": 26216380,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 847.99539,
              "tx_hash": "0x3640c785e678d702e8c8a4313bb628515799abd167ab50f22a02251d2fbef83d",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 128030.3439822,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x58783f682bd1ea0d11e1187e28445d3185b6a173",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:19:01.794Z",
              "from": "0x5a1c0e89133c4cd844a8b345370565f1368a79a8",
              "block": 26216414,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 815.797425209232,
              "tx_hash": "0x613993ea453584166a9db8e73e1086d3d669a035c7fe88b3fe2400a18cb611f0",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 124197.00001385348,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x7d94077f58593f8b97c5cab56c8924e13b49946e",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:15:23.000Z",
              "from": "0x84b38bc60f3bd82640ecefa320dab2be62e2da15",
              "block": 26216396,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 819,
              "tx_hash": "0x9fb192b2b78656613ebebb65e249a3f9473aee8ad7d6d0248e795151b350b307",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 123652.62,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x84b38bc60f3bd82640ecefa320dab2be62e2da15",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:12:35.000Z",
              "from": "0xf8191d98ae98d2f7abdfb63a9b0b812b93c873aa",
              "block": 26216382,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 819,
              "tx_hash": "0x661c83cfce8b5e2192aea796c7382c55188832343ea5560a54ca5830771e9b11",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 123652.62,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0xf8191d98ae98d2f7abdfb63a9b0b812b93c873aa",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T00:30:35.000Z",
              "from": "0x7d94077f58593f8b97c5cab56c8924e13b49946e",
              "block": 26215874,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 806.9953,
              "tx_hash": "0x16943bd0d8137a7b1c2f67e4d438a46000e8155552c269f8ffc1e1951ef3720d",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 121638.401569,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x58783f682bd1ea0d11e1187e28445d3185b6a173",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:21:39.931Z",
              "from": "0x5a1c0e89133c4cd844a8b345370565f1368a79a8",
              "block": 26216427,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 775.7228982303665,
              "tx_hash": "0x859c5d146eaede85f5b58f40369ffbc4b6c89a4b0b09f04adfecad6e1bba8749",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 118096.054026591,
              "from_entity": null
            },
            {
              "to": "0x41713516b6a8f7a9e01806a4510f7cffb79677fe",
              "ts": "2026-10-18T02:26:19.712Z",
              "from": "0x5a1c0e89133c4cd844a8b345370565f1368a79a8",
              "block": 26216450,
              "chain": "eth",
              "amount": 743.6119088390408,
              "tx_hash": "0x040778a862cef2bb0ab9d374d7614aa399e0be54528f7870735cef1746ac3bec",
              "direction": "other",
              "to_entity": null,
              "amount_usd": 113207.47700165557,
              "from_entity": null
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "large_transfers",
        "source": "nownodes:onchain_transfers",
        "summary": "12 largest transfers in the window: $1.3M other at 00:57; $158.6K ← binance at 02:23; $139.4K ← binance at 02:22; $129.1K ← binance at 02:19; $128K other at 02:11"
      },
      {
        "id": "E9",
        "data": {
          "by_exchange": [
            {
              "entity": "binance",
              "balance": 1499004.0719564727,
              "balance_usd": 227144087.02356428,
              "change_24h_pct": -0.29
            },
            {
              "entity": "bitfinex",
              "balance": 16074.67700924542,
              "balance_usd": 2435795.8072109586,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "coinbase",
              "balance": 13560.654628692291,
              "balance_usd": 2054845.9958857428,
              "change_24h_pct": -13.69
            },
            {
              "entity": "gate",
              "balance": 10902.007371189206,
              "balance_usd": 1651981.1769563004,
              "change_24h_pct": 1.48
            },
            {
              "entity": "crypto.com",
              "balance": 1620.4976801069408,
              "balance_usd": 245554.01346660475,
              "change_24h_pct": -0.58
            },
            {
              "entity": "mexc",
              "balance": 0.000757433232323817,
              "balance_usd": 0.114773857694028,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "robinhood",
              "balance": 1.77063501666e-7,
              "balance_usd": 0.00002683043240744898,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            },
            {
              "entity": "okx",
              "balance": 5.09400639e-9,
              "balance_usd": 7.718947882767e-7,
              "change_24h_pct": 0
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "exchange_reserves",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "Known exchange wallets hold 1.5M AAVE ($233.5M): binance 1.5M (-0.29% vs 24h ago), bitfinex 16K (0% vs 24h ago), coinbase 14K (-13.69% vs 24h ago), gate 11K (+1.48% vs 24h ago)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E10",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T00:50:00.000Z",
          "chain": "sol",
          "top10_pct": 47.35449440675393,
          "top20_pct": 57.97967772701064
        },
        "kind": "holder_concentration",
        "source": "nownodes:sol:getTokenLargestAccounts",
        "summary": "Top 10 holders own 47.4% of supply, top 20 58.0% (SOL, as of 2026-10-18T00:50)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E11",
        "data": {
          "role": "sender",
          "address": "0x9b0c45d46d386cedd98873168c36efd0dcba8d46",
          "profile": "very active (exchange, contract or bot)",
          "tx_count": 100902,
          "transfer_usd": 1290171.20166,
          "native_balance": 11350.91901133913,
          "token_balance_now": 1508.2287393572,
          "window_start_block": 26215948,
          "token_balance_window_start": 10054.1067393572
        },
        "kind": "wallet_profile",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "sender 0x9b0c45d4… ($1.3M transfer): very active (exchange, contract or bot), 100,902 transactions, holds 1.5K AAVE now vs 10K at the start of the window (-85%), 11350.92 ETH"
      },
      {
        "id": "E12",
        "data": {
          "role": "receiver",
          "address": "0x15da7556d5ed888306839bed06f868aeaedcb0d7",
          "profile": "established wallet",
          "tx_count": 42584,
          "transfer_usd": 1290171.20166,
          "native_balance": 6.974658147575541,
          "token_balance_now": 59398.758930509044,
          "window_start_block": 26215948,
          "token_balance_window_start": 50852.88093050904
        },
        "kind": "wallet_profile",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "receiver 0x15da7556… ($1.3M transfer): established wallet, 42,584 transactions, holds 59K AAVE now vs 51K at the start of the window (+16.81%), 6.97 ETH"
      },
      {
        "id": "E13",
        "data": {
          "role": "receiver",
          "address": "0xbee3211ab312a8d065c4fef0247448e17a8da000",
          "profile": "very active (exchange, contract or bot)",
          "tx_count": 2626077,
          "transfer_usd": 158591.55936800002,
          "native_balance": 0,
          "token_balance_now": 1274.2367288923565,
          "window_start_block": 26215948,
          "token_balance_window_start": 1234.2270088461305
        },
        "kind": "wallet_profile",
        "source": "nownodes:eth-blockbook:/address/{wallet}",
        "summary": "receiver 0xbee3211a… ($158.6K transfer): very active (exchange, contract or bot), 2,626,077 transactions, holds 1.3K AAVE now vs 1.2K at the start of the window (+3.24%), 0.00 ETH"
      },
      {
        "id": "E14",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T02:17:00.000Z",
          "chain": "eth",
          "base_fee_gwei": 0.03534983093333334,
          "gas_used_ratio": 0.513606697929163,
          "avg_base_fee_24h_gwei": 0.058954828883611116,
          "priority_fee_p50_gwei": 0.020867708253333332
        },
        "kind": "network_fees",
        "source": "nownodes:eth:eth_feeHistory",
        "summary": "ETH base fee 0.04 gwei (24h average 0.06), blocks 51% full"
      },
      {
        "id": "E15",
        "data": {
          "trending": false,
          "categories": [
            "Decentralized Finance (DeFi)",
            "Yield Farming",
            "BNB Chain Ecosystem",
            "Lending/Borrowing Protocols",
            "Solana Ecosystem",
            "Avalanche Ecosystem",
            "Polygon Ecosystem",
            "Near Protocol Ecosystem",
            "Fantom Ecosystem",
            "Harmony Ecosystem",
            "Arbitrum Ecosystem",
            "Ethereum Ecosystem",
            "Optimism Ecosystem",
            "Base Ecosystem",
            "Index Coop Defi Index",
            "Stablecoin Issuer",
            "Energi Ecosystem",
            "Sora Ecosystem",
            "Huobi ECO Chain Ecosystem",
            "GMCI DeFi Index",
            "Blockchain Capital Portfolio",
            "GMCI Index",
            "World Liberty Financial Portfolio",
            "Coinbase 50 Index",
            "Hydration Ecosystem",
            "Governance",
            "Base Native"
          ],
          "btc_change_24h_pct": 0.39227,
          "btc_window_return_pct": 0.35,
          "eth_window_return_pct": 0.46,
          "global_market_cap_change_24h_pct": -2.702455467352229
        },
        "kind": "market_context",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/markets+/global",
        "summary": "Market: BTC +0.35% and ETH +0.46% over the same window; total crypto market cap -2.7% in 24h; categories: Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Yield Farming, BNB Chain Ecosystem, Lending/Borrowing Protocols"
      },
      {
        "id": "E16",
        "data": {
          "day": "2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z",
          "value": 53,
          "week_ago": 61,
          "classification": "Neutral"
        },
        "kind": "market_mood",
        "source": "alternative.me:/fng",
        "summary": "Crypto Fear & Greed index 53 (Neutral) today, 61 a week ago"
      },
      {
        "id": "E17",
        "data": {
          "protocols": [
            {
              "name": "Aave V3",
              "tvl_usd": 16797345105.385422,
              "category": "Lending",
              "protocol": "aave-v3",
              "change_1d_pct": -0.6977653670033419,
              "change_7d_pct": -3.6425876792222596
            },
            {
              "name": "Aave V4",
              "tvl_usd": 651162357.2223697,
              "category": "Lending",
              "protocol": "aave-v4",
              "change_1d_pct": -0.7853997166706961,
              "change_7d_pct": -3.0092558865023875
            },
            {
              "name": "Aave Horizon RWA",
              "tvl_usd": 254377151.47913295,
              "category": "Lending",
              "protocol": "aave-horizon-rwa",
              "change_1d_pct": 0.10972231633607521,
              "change_7d_pct": -0.5579000555999301
            },
            {
              "name": "Aave V2",
              "tvl_usd": 106012126.03505403,
              "category": "Lending",
              "protocol": "aave-v2",
              "change_1d_pct": -0.6643929423260317,
              "change_7d_pct": -3.0725066384923707
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "protocol_tvl",
        "source": "defillama:/protocols",
        "summary": "Protocol TVL (DefiLlama): Aave V3 $16.8B (-0.7% 1d, -3.64% 7d); Aave V4 $651.2M (-0.79% 1d, -3.01% 7d); Aave Horizon RWA $254.4M (+0.11% 1d, -0.56% 7d); Aave V2 $106M (-0.66% 1d, -3.07% 7d)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E18",
        "data": {
          "as_of": "2026-10-18T00:00:38.006Z",
          "forks": null,
          "stars": null,
          "commits_4w": null,
          "prs_merged": null,
          "sentiment_up_pct": 50,
          "twitter_followers": null,
          "reddit_subscribers": null
        },
        "kind": "dev_and_community",
        "source": "coingecko:/coins/{id}",
        "summary": "developer activity: not tracked by CoinGecko for this coin; CoinGecko sentiment 50% positive (as of 2026-10-18)"
      },
      {
        "id": "E19",
        "data": {
          "signals": [
            {
              "id": "118656",
              "kind": "volume_spike",
              "ratio": 9.17,
              "value": 577721,
              "details": {
                "median_15m_24h": 63011,
                "volume_usd_15m": 577721
              },
              "baseline": 63011,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T02:28:52.193Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "neutral"
            },
            {
              "id": "118672",
              "kind": "volume_spike",
              "ratio": 10.78,
              "value": 686802,
              "details": {
                "median_15m_24h": 63727,
                "volume_usd_15m": 686802
              },
              "baseline": 63727,
              "event_ts": "2026-10-18T02:30:52.102Z",
              "severity": 3,
              "direction": "neutral"
            }
          ]
        },
        "kind": "signals",
        "source": "coingraph:signals",
        "summary": "Triggered by: volume_spike (neutral, high) at 02:28; volume_spike (neutral, high) at 02:30"
      }
    ],
    "symbol": "AAVE",
    "window_to": "2026-10-18T02:31:04.718Z",
    "gathered_at": "2026-10-18T02:31:31.837Z",
    "window_from": "2026-10-18T00:31:04.718Z",
    "coingecko_id": "aave"
  },
  "model": "claude-opus-5-5"
}